{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "76a4f52f-b930-4024-9a14-6366dd8dec35",
    "symbol": "C1V0",
    "name": "mVISE AG                      I",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 50.991,
    "architecture_energy": 36.849,
    "architecture_maturity": 33.137,
    "architecture_confidence": 58.131,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 38.14,
        "rotation_up": 48.32,
        "upward_expansion": 66.25,
        "deceleration": 63.81,
        "rotation_down": 19.68,
        "downward_expansion": 9.58
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.76,
        7.704545,
        7.728571,
        7.621183
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 7.85,
    "trend_reference": 7.401667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.060572,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.132885,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.279985,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 12.910013,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.048485,
    "excess_performance": -0.113125,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060572,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.127673,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.279985,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009905,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.1291,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.215624,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048485,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.535728,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2629,
      "relative_activity": 1.452486,
      "balance": 0.535728,
      "dry_up": 1.174309,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.026948,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.394457,
      "from_high_reference": -0.065476,
      "from_low_reference": 0.9625
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7.401667,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.132885,
      "structural_low": 6.4,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.037624,
        "positive_rate": 0.142857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.142857,
        "median_excess_return": -0.032548,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.137681,
        "worst_return": -0.170732,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.108434,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.129481,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.101449,
        "worst_return": -0.146341,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.242276,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.283574,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.198795,
        "worst_return": -0.298077,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.337349,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.321781,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.121951,
        "worst_return": -0.454327,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.153846,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.046296,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.065041,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.025641,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.144068,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-01",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.074561,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.115044,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-07",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.615044,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.2,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.137681,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.031847,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.019481,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 1526.7,
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        "trend": 6.315333,
        "fair_value": 6.124551,
        "relative_strength": 34.472447,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.468006,
        "energy": 80.012594,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.92,
          7.602727,
          7.270476,
          6.841505
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 8.1,
        "volume": 137,
        "typical_volume": 3809.9,
        "trend": 6.397,
        "fair_value": 6.135449,
        "relative_strength": 39.021203,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.696516,
        "energy": 87.748358,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.996667,
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          7.397143,
          6.956645
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 7.75,
        "volume": 6484,
        "typical_volume": 4123.75,
        "trend": 6.473667,
        "fair_value": 6.145705,
        "relative_strength": 27.316252,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.06713,
        "energy": 82.846333,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.926667,
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          7.472857,
          7.043935
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 7.7,
        "volume": 750,
        "typical_volume": 4053.0,
        "trend": 6.563667,
        "fair_value": 6.154038,
        "relative_strength": 24.646003,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.369261,
        "energy": 59.749133,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.846667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 7.9,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3880.0,
        "trend": 6.676333,
        "fair_value": 6.163654,
        "relative_strength": 28.735434,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.686193,
        "energy": 51.217301,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.843333,
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          7.590476,
          7.209269
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 7.6,
        "volume": 633,
        "typical_volume": 3706.55,
        "trend": 6.748,
        "fair_value": 6.171667,
        "relative_strength": 23.650973,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.300396,
        "energy": 37.319761,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 3089.9,
        "trend": 6.823,
        "fair_value": 6.169744,
        "relative_strength": 22.591325,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.41528,
        "energy": 33.169208,
        "activity_lines": [
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          7.33028
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 7.6,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2805.2,
        "trend": 6.909667,
        "fair_value": 6.162051,
        "relative_strength": 21.707909,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.885758,
        "energy": 28.466198,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.673333,
          7.754545,
          7.640952,
          7.380409
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 7.6,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2128.15,
        "trend": 6.921667,
        "fair_value": 6.152436,
        "relative_strength": 15.717725,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.236915,
        "energy": 22.953217,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.64,
          7.714545,
          7.653333,
          7.424946
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 7.6,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1909.8,
        "trend": 7.008333,
        "fair_value": 6.142821,
        "relative_strength": 18.231457,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.880494,
        "energy": 21.326239,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.613333,
          7.679091,
          7.661667,
          7.46871
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 7.65,
        "volume": 3677,
        "typical_volume": 2025.95,
        "trend": 7.086667,
        "fair_value": 6.139615,
        "relative_strength": 19.245103,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.960635,
        "energy": 14.661234,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.623333,
          7.661818,
          7.674048,
          7.510108
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 7.55,
        "volume": 252,
        "typical_volume": 1791.3,
        "trend": 7.191667,
        "fair_value": 6.134487,
        "relative_strength": 15.635345,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 18.415092,
        "energy": 12.282229,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.596667,
          7.630909,
          7.675238,
          7.54
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.9,
        "volume": 1944,
        "typical_volume": 1701.45,
        "trend": 7.3,
        "fair_value": 6.134487,
        "relative_strength": 17.505963,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.525226,
        "energy": 32.230681,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.696667,
          7.673636,
          7.706667,
          7.585699
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.85,
        "volume": 2629,
        "typical_volume": 1810.0,
        "trend": 7.401667,
        "fair_value": 6.132885,
        "relative_strength": 12.910013,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.991036,
        "energy": 36.849206,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.76,
          7.704545,
          7.728571,
          7.621183
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}