{ "ticker": { "uuid": "76aa5c57-f9ad-4987-86f7-c02fd86029df", "symbol": "LPSN", "name": "LivePerson, Inc.", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.027, "architecture_energy": 80.733, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 90.608, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.18, "rotation_up": 27.99, "upward_expansion": 26.03, "deceleration": 44.32, "rotation_down": 56.09, "downward_expansion": 87.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.6414, 5.621073, 189.531187, 356.12116 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.361, "trend_reference": 563.155634, "distance_from_trend": -0.988705, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6442.619673, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.999013, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -99.645251, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.992994, "excess_performance": -1.021895, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.988705, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.479386, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.999013, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08742, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.996453, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.195562, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.992994, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.54251, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 540689, "relative_activity": 4.748073, "balance": 1.54251, "dry_up": 1.86282, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 10.589083, "annualized_volatility": 6.339208, "from_high_reference": -0.99899, "from_low_reference": 0.356001 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 563.155634, "fair_value_reference": 6442.619673, "structural_low": 4.691, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 44, "median_return": -0.080995, "positive_rate": 0.340909, "directional_follow_through": 0.659091, "median_excess_return": -0.087476, "regime_survival": 0.909091, "best_return": 1.091859, "worst_return": -0.990037, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.262546, "positive_rate": 0.1875, "directional_follow_through": 0.8125, "median_excess_return": -0.298217, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 1.011879, "worst_return": -0.993567, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.437963, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.540132, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.261224, "worst_return": -0.775846, "sufficient": 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{ "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-01-12", "end": "2024-02-02", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.240149, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-02-09", "end": "2024-07-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.56839, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-07-26", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.159417, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.130025, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.017378, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-02-21", 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"gate": "down", "direction": -69.99345, "energy": 87.601867, "activity_lines": [ 5.1984, 38.420872, 272.463611, 436.066814 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.647, "volume": 170510, "typical_volume": 97521.0, "trend": 604.943601, "fair_value": 6630.848128, "relative_strength": -99.710976, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.44042, "energy": 81.850066, "activity_lines": [ 5.2986, 16.582854, 228.921606, 394.739393 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.361, "volume": 540689, "typical_volume": 113875.45, "trend": 563.155634, "fair_value": 6442.619673, "relative_strength": -99.645251, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.026742, "energy": 80.732763, "activity_lines": [ 5.6414, 5.621073, 189.531187, 356.12116 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }