{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "76ab277f-5add-4710-b197-f1c7b23ffe5f",
    "symbol": "SAEU",
    "name": "iShares MSCI Europe Screened UCITS ETF EUR (Acc)",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.625,
    "architecture_energy": 57.669,
    "architecture_maturity": 34.732,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.946,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.13,
        "rotation_up": 57.66,
        "upward_expansion": 81.65,
        "deceleration": 58.14,
        "rotation_down": 24.79,
        "downward_expansion": 8.32
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        9.467767,
        9.428836,
        9.299831,
        9.177496
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 9.657,
    "trend_reference": 9.055017,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.066481,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 7.608971,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.26916,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.622824,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.080141,
    "excess_performance": 0.028906,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066481,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032691,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.26916,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055993,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016228,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014261,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080141,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.419157,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1243762,
      "relative_activity": 1.05559,
      "balance": 2.419157,
      "dry_up": 0.661624,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019715,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.162185,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005253,
      "from_low_reference": 0.225508
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 9.055017,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.608971,
      "structural_low": 8.065,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 33,
        "median_return": 0.007662,
        "positive_rate": 0.575758,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.575758,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001471,
        "regime_survival": 0.757576,
        "best_return": 0.055685,
        "worst_return": -0.100636,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.013992,
        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0001,
        "regime_survival": 0.416667,
        "best_return": 0.084991,
        "worst_return": -0.055208,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.002616,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.115643,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.077641,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 1260812.3,
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        "relative_strength": 0.362706,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.317,
        "energy": 55.715183,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 1252319.4,
        "trend": 9.002833,
        "fair_value": 7.566656,
        "relative_strength": 0.142787,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.545958,
        "energy": 47.051042,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.442,
        "volume": 786248,
        "typical_volume": 1172169.4,
        "trend": 9.028133,
        "fair_value": 7.587118,
        "relative_strength": -0.307108,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.741979,
        "energy": 43.848586,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 9.657,
        "volume": 1243762,
        "typical_volume": 1178262.0,
        "trend": 9.055017,
        "fair_value": 7.608971,
        "relative_strength": 1.622824,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.624602,
        "energy": 57.669332,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}