{ "ticker": { "uuid": "76b436a3-c994-4cc3-b193-a89da6879b1f", "symbol": "D1XC34", "name": "DXC Technology Company", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 91.35, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 21.882, "architecture_energy": 40.508, "architecture_maturity": 34.241, "architecture_confidence": 38.137, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.3, "rotation_up": 52.59, "upward_expansion": 33.37, "deceleration": 47.33, "rotation_down": 16.67, "downward_expansion": 53.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 52.819999, 50.158909, 49.851524, 52.889764 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 57.18, "trend_reference": 58.828001, "distance_from_trend": -0.028014, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 89.936731, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.36422, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -16.280647, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.225413, "excess_performance": -0.168365, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.028014, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.135416, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.36422, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.153067, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.162806, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.312182, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.225413, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.754244, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2, "relative_activity": 0.013307, "balance": 0.754244, "dry_up": 0.041583, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.037601, "annualized_volatility": 0.467765, "from_high_reference": -0.328243, "from_low_reference": 0.458673 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 58.828001, "fair_value_reference": 89.936731, "structural_low": 39.200001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.016315, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.045195, "worst_return": -0.197938, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.080154, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.085497, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.033485, "worst_return": -0.255169, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.189372, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.226587, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.191522, "worst_return": -0.458294, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.152917, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.017544, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.257624, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.093862, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 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"typical_volume": 152.8, "trend": 61.997001, "fair_value": 90.988718, "relative_strength": -32.767842, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.708124, "energy": 62.599687, "activity_lines": [ 46.69, 46.754364, 49.637477, 54.323377 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 47.849998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 152.8, "trend": 60.754668, "fair_value": 90.462116, "relative_strength": -31.88553, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.500205, "energy": 55.035917, "activity_lines": [ 47.153999, 46.966545, 49.119619, 53.410667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 55.259998, "volume": 13, "typical_volume": 150.2, "trend": 59.759334, "fair_value": 90.209936, "relative_strength": -22.278478, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.977959, "energy": 21.394465, "activity_lines": [ 49.971999, 48.476, 49.374762, 53.056172 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 57.18, "volume": 2, "typical_volume": 150.3, "trend": 58.828001, "fair_value": 89.936731, "relative_strength": -16.280647, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 21.882256, "energy": 40.507814, "activity_lines": [ 52.819999, 50.158909, 49.851524, 52.889764 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }