{ "ticker": { "uuid": "76b47d9c-3354-4f21-a9db-343f46d991a0", "symbol": "XAXJ", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI AC Asia ex Japan ESG Swap UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 60.622, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.181, "architecture_energy": 49.341, "architecture_maturity": 6.849, "architecture_confidence": 84.107, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.43, "rotation_up": 12.07, "upward_expansion": 9.64, "deceleration": 39.62, "rotation_down": 61.25, "downward_expansion": 82.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 4391.466667, 4417.263636, 4459.857143, 4467.774194 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4447.5, "trend_reference": 4495.2, "distance_from_trend": -0.010611, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3927.593077, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.132373, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.814793, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.033677, "excess_performance": -0.084913, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.010611, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010209, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.132373, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075529, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.098148, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08355, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.033677, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.528683, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 78214, "relative_activity": 2.026963, "balance": 3.528683, "dry_up": 2.315047, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.032144, "annualized_volatility": 0.175877, "from_high_reference": -0.282814, "from_low_reference": 0.058929 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4495.2, "fair_value_reference": 3927.593077, 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4489.877419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4352.0, "volume": 73616, "typical_volume": 32451.15, "trend": 4506.683333, "fair_value": 3915.775769, "relative_strength": -10.83026, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.841465, "energy": 61.04438, "activity_lines": [ 4378.933333, 4432.736364, 4469.459524, 4479.580645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4376.5, "volume": 152272, "typical_volume": 36977.65, "trend": 4500.316667, "fair_value": 3921.118718, "relative_strength": -11.19757, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.408005, "energy": 57.235481, "activity_lines": [ 4370.9, 4417.381818, 4461.157143, 4471.18172 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4447.5, "volume": 78214, "typical_volume": 38586.8, "trend": 4495.2, "fair_value": 3927.593077, "relative_strength": -9.814793, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.18098, "energy": 49.340513, "activity_lines": [ 4391.466667, 4417.263636, 4459.857143, 4467.774194 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }