{ "ticker": { "uuid": "76bdfcc8-5a4c-402f-9730-51d286721918", "symbol": "601699", "name": "Shanxi Lu'an Environmental Energy Development Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 37.705, "architecture_energy": 15.343, "architecture_maturity": 26.019, "architecture_confidence": 92.478, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.81, "rotation_up": 32.12, "upward_expansion": 56.72, "deceleration": 87.93, "rotation_down": 28.13, "downward_expansion": 18.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.378, 15.366109, 15.409923, 15.13707 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 16.26, "trend_reference": 14.674646, "distance_from_trend": 0.108034, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.156732, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.072791, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 14.595214, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.192957, "excess_performance": 0.236161, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.108034, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061258, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.072791, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06971, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.145952, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.089789, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.192957, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.009227, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 216955263, "relative_activity": 1.531925, "balance": 1.009227, "dry_up": 1.264251, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.103251, "annualized_volatility": 0.492245, "from_high_reference": -0.153399, "from_low_reference": 0.385009 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.674646, "fair_value_reference": 15.156732, "structural_low": 12.42, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.026443, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": 0.023646, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.308699, "worst_return": -0.146167, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.052605, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.108685, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.188937, "worst_return": -0.319646, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.254327, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.316053, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.583803, "worst_return": -0.30347, "sufficient": false 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.136693, "energy": 20.662759, "activity_lines": [ 15.190952, 15.70232, 15.331959, 14.922054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 14.36, "volume": 158367828, "typical_volume": 155151545.65, "trend": 14.322979, "fair_value": 15.151229, "relative_strength": 6.58656, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.985762, "energy": 20.924834, "activity_lines": [ 14.739796, 15.45883, 15.270676, 14.928679 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.14, "volume": 198784904, "typical_volume": 149925576.7, "trend": 14.420979, "fair_value": 15.149555, "relative_strength": 10.374887, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.144935, "energy": 19.048193, "activity_lines": [ 14.780217, 15.371661, 15.286203, 14.98139 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.1, "volume": 142078172, "typical_volume": 138951960.45, "trend": 14.525979, "fair_value": 15.148197, "relative_strength": 9.585606, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.73062, "energy": 11.731701, "activity_lines": [ 14.898667, 15.273948, 15.292587, 15.025198 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.26, "volume": 216955263, "typical_volume": 141622651.8, "trend": 14.674646, "fair_value": 15.156732, "relative_strength": 14.595214, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.705284, "energy": 15.343418, "activity_lines": [ 15.378, 15.366109, 15.409923, 15.13707 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }