{ "ticker": { "uuid": "76cc16b9-5522-4274-a725-5a523e9aad33", "symbol": "2354", "name": "Foxconn Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 70.033, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.544, "architecture_energy": 64.645, "architecture_maturity": 26.198, "architecture_confidence": 66.672, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.86, "rotation_up": 71.13, "upward_expansion": 89.04, "deceleration": 42.48, "rotation_down": 13.58, "downward_expansion": 15.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 59.826666, 58.04719, 57.110295, 56.096095 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 62.5, "trend_reference": 55.433819, "distance_from_trend": 0.127471, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 60.040587, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.040963, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -26.820945, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.141249, "excess_performance": -0.300123, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.127471, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029716, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.040963, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068723, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.268209, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.099828, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.141249, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.470272, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 97598079, "relative_activity": 1.745925, "balance": 1.470272, "dry_up": 1.226571, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.071949, "annualized_volatility": 0.356729, "from_high_reference": -0.173072, "from_low_reference": 0.292803 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 55.433819, "fair_value_reference": 60.040587, "structural_low": 48.344549, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.007764, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": 0.010518, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.467572, "worst_return": -0.010087, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.088423, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.014407, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.5, "worst_return": -0.045369, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.002322, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.054587, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.225155, "worst_return": -0.083981, 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"fair_value": 59.869238, "relative_strength": -32.735855, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 8.570605, "energy": 5.18833, "activity_lines": [ 55.806848, 55.997835, 55.510083, 55.125338 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 56.5, "volume": 31005161, "typical_volume": 46706418.0, "trend": 55.194365, "fair_value": 59.907185, "relative_strength": -31.684938, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.354285, "energy": 18.607878, "activity_lines": [ 56.166666, 55.986678, 55.714403, 55.202845 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 61.799999, "volume": 121932564, "typical_volume": 51711247.35, "trend": 55.260274, "fair_value": 59.967164, "relative_strength": -26.148665, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.040891, "energy": 44.955802, "activity_lines": [ 58.086666, 56.976578, 56.403178, 55.629015 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 62.5, "volume": 97598079, "typical_volume": 55900484.4, "trend": 55.433819, "fair_value": 60.040587, "relative_strength": -26.820945, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.544048, "energy": 64.644774, "activity_lines": [ 59.826666, 58.04719, 57.110295, 56.096095 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }