{ "ticker": { "uuid": "76ce1888-4cde-43e0-baae-2e8d4a006e1c", "symbol": "SUN", "name": "Schneider Electric S.E.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.066, "architecture_energy": 22.308, "architecture_maturity": 32.837, "architecture_confidence": 90.813, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.95, "rotation_up": 33.39, "upward_expansion": 53.11, "deceleration": 88.92, "rotation_down": 33.22, "downward_expansion": 26.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 5490.704622, 5473.156703, 5482.739793, 5438.393157 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 5985.75, "trend_reference": 5349.214567, "distance_from_trend": 0.118996, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4551.307551, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.315172, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.323872, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.175843, "excess_performance": 0.23051, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.118996, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026409, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.315172, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022588, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.123239, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.124419, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.175843, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.807128, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 400, "relative_activity": 1.062417, "balance": 0.807128, "dry_up": 1.879814, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.02686, "annualized_volatility": 0.352583, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.306563 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5349.214567, "fair_value_reference": 4551.307551, "structural_low": 4910.008301, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.026974, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.013695, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.086771, "worst_return": -0.030424, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.085813, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.068415, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.146313, "worst_return": 0.030718, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.113569, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.058924, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.365089, "worst_return": -0.018468, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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20.087531, "activity_lines": [ 5410.430046, 5457.986923, 5460.610884, 5403.792685 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5288.359863, "volume": 110, "typical_volume": 290.45, "trend": 5305.092041, "fair_value": 4517.707268, "relative_strength": 0.102305, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": -14.875863, "energy": 35.734699, "activity_lines": [ 5346.867318, 5422.219806, 5449.14734, 5403.376533 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5173.649902, "volume": 1357, "typical_volume": 356.5, "trend": 5311.550195, "fair_value": 4532.087833, "relative_strength": -2.742875, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -45.704354, "energy": 62.798524, "activity_lines": [ 5267.432617, 5371.625062, 5426.980897, 5394.896395 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5985.75, "volume": 400, "typical_volume": 376.5, "trend": 5349.214567, "fair_value": 4551.307551, "relative_strength": 12.323872, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.065732, "energy": 22.307568, "activity_lines": [ 5490.704622, 5473.156703, 5482.739793, 5438.393157 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }