{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "76db9d75-2351-4090-99f2-0417a4afaee7",
    "symbol": "IGPT",
    "name": "INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR AI AND NEXT GEN SOFTWARE",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 30.248,
    "architecture_energy": 23.992,
    "architecture_maturity": 74.561,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.278,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.41,
        "rotation_up": 22.13,
        "upward_expansion": 55.4,
        "deceleration": 91.13,
        "rotation_down": 33.09,
        "downward_expansion": 19.07
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        89.728667,
        92.609091,
        91.37381,
        85.575575
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 91.43,
    "trend_reference": 78.178203,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.169508,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 51.566424,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.773053,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 19.381621,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.45961,
    "excess_performance": 0.333986,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.169508,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.178316,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.773053,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.175906,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.193816,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.222374,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.45961,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.089308,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 762515,
      "relative_activity": 0.904285,
      "balance": 1.089308,
      "dry_up": 1.399634,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.10307,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.448102,
      "from_high_reference": -0.163648,
      "from_low_reference": 0.872359
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 78.178203,
      "fair_value_reference": 51.566424,
      "structural_low": 55.12,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.036415,
        "positive_rate": 0.777778,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
        "median_excess_return": 0.025585,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.413804,
        "worst_return": -0.024234,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.110982,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.03389,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.599408,
        "worst_return": 0.017351,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.323083,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.16998,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.538553,
        "worst_return": 0.070747,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.266536,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.035049,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.383703,
        "worst_return": 0.149369,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.07598,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.052031,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.038597,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.011665,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.061109,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.043886,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.294265,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.084738,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.14335,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.005163,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.002837,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.16494,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.174432,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.03101,
        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": 36.388685,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 62.848112,
        "energy": 58.063243,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 88.47,
        "volume": 751392,
        "typical_volume": 679121.0,
        "trend": 75.401537,
        "fair_value": 50.520539,
        "relative_strength": 22.892732,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.322413,
        "energy": 37.943281,
        "activity_lines": [
          95.205333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 88.68,
        "volume": 1612083,
        "typical_volume": 747286.05,
        "trend": 76.35987,
        "fair_value": 50.85395,
        "relative_strength": 22.939632,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.471729,
        "energy": 26.228161,
        "activity_lines": [
          92.236,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 86.71,
        "volume": 1594832,
        "typical_volume": 813131.05,
        "trend": 77.216537,
        "fair_value": 51.191247,
        "relative_strength": 18.080231,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.590176,
        "energy": 23.201811,
        "activity_lines": [
          89.791333,
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          90.70531,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 91.43,
        "volume": 762515,
        "typical_volume": 843224.15,
        "trend": 78.178203,
        "fair_value": 51.566424,
        "relative_strength": 19.381621,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.248127,
        "energy": 23.991971,
        "activity_lines": [
          89.728667,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}