{ "ticker": { "uuid": "76dbdf16-54d6-434b-8dfe-eaeec3f5013c", "symbol": "W5", "name": "W5 Solutions AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -83.433, "architecture_energy": 68.205, "architecture_maturity": 38.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.592, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.94, "rotation_up": 14.48, "upward_expansion": 12.62, "deceleration": 40.66, "rotation_down": 69.04, "downward_expansion": 85.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 43.670001, 45.149091, 47.427619, 49.04172 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 38.5, "trend_reference": 51.651666, "distance_from_trend": -0.254622, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 61.723718, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.376253, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -35.711301, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.349662, "excess_performance": -0.411157, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.254622, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027581, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.376253, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.171408, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.357113, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.163834, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.349662, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.320372, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 899234, "relative_activity": 3.912522, "balance": 0.320372, "dry_up": 1.288337, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.112188, "annualized_volatility": 0.434656, "from_high_reference": -0.418429, "from_low_reference": 0.104735 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 51.651666, "fair_value_reference": 61.723718, "structural_low": 34.849998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.006972, "positive_rate": 0.473684, "directional_follow_through": 0.526316, "median_excess_return": -0.041186, "regime_survival": 0.789474, "best_return": 0.260807, "worst_return": -0.178197, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.073663, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.09549, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 1.239163, "worst_return": -0.426244, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.111802, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.263178, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.645078, "worst_return": -0.38437, "sufficient": false }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 46.916667, 48.007272, 49.680476, 51.194623 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 44.950001, "volume": 84984, "typical_volume": 199770.0, "trend": 52.56, "fair_value": 62.63782, "relative_strength": -23.879404, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.436722, "energy": 65.123934, "activity_lines": [ 46.063334, 47.303636, 49.118571, 50.694301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 45.650002, "volume": 117767, "typical_volume": 201926.2, "trend": 52.443333, "fair_value": 62.374679, "relative_strength": -23.034211, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.589976, "energy": 58.485218, "activity_lines": [ 45.780001, 46.842728, 48.685476, 50.248494 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 47.450001, "volume": 82434, "typical_volume": 196441.8, "trend": 52.211666, "fair_value": 62.057051, "relative_strength": -20.320656, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.345818, "energy": 43.486543, "activity_lines": [ 46.286668, 46.783637, 48.469762, 49.926344 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.5, "volume": 899234, "typical_volume": 229834.85, "trend": 51.651666, "fair_value": 61.723718, "relative_strength": -35.711301, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.433288, "energy": 68.205072, "activity_lines": [ 43.670001, 45.149091, 47.427619, 49.04172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }