{ "ticker": { "uuid": "76e24a79-812e-4cbd-8a41-3b9caf6f4491", "symbol": "002487", "name": "Dajin Heavy Industry Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.343, "architecture_energy": 88.159, "architecture_maturity": 24.0, "architecture_confidence": 84.875, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.81, "rotation_up": 8.87, "upward_expansion": 21.92, "deceleration": 37.02, "rotation_down": 80.39, "downward_expansion": 97.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.250666, 45.098908, 56.123001, 61.009193 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 42.119999, "trend_reference": 64.228821, "distance_from_trend": -0.34422, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 34.556184, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.218885, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.984811, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.313591, "excess_performance": -0.320991, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.34422, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009182, "read": "Falling" 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35.599998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.051541, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.003596, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.423986, "worst_return": -0.241263, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.024688, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.044574, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 2.066841, "worst_return": -0.277255, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.123626, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.003296, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 3.387942, "worst_return": -0.321812, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -61.869293, "energy": 82.963273, "activity_lines": [ 53.205999, 59.078908, 67.229401, 67.730499 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 37.369999, "volume": 120089016, "typical_volume": 83549126.4, "trend": 65.528366, "fair_value": 34.375546, "relative_strength": -32.427799, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -67.156092, "energy": 87.410823, "activity_lines": [ 47.283999, 54.098181, 64.043633, 65.870696 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 38.189999, "volume": 147628533, "typical_volume": 86338161.6, "trend": 64.991013, "fair_value": 34.421223, "relative_strength": -31.2212, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.767104, "energy": 94.327392, "activity_lines": [ 43.113999, 50.095817, 61.089122, 64.106931 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.41, "volume": 165141779, "typical_volume": 88256097.5, "trend": 64.553929, "fair_value": 34.477771, "relative_strength": -28.012254, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.768356, "energy": 90.780377, "activity_lines": [ 40.692666, 47.028181, 58.379033, 62.456543 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.119999, "volume": 135033653, "typical_volume": 86399549.6, "trend": 64.228821, "fair_value": 34.556184, "relative_strength": -26.984811, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.343352, "energy": 88.159497, "activity_lines": [ 40.250666, 45.098908, 56.123001, 61.009193 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }