{ "ticker": { "uuid": "76e8a152-67b9-4b66-9756-336d001fed32", "symbol": "LRGE", "name": "CLEARBRIDGE LARGE CAP GROWTH ESG ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 49.594, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.393, "architecture_energy": 31.495, "architecture_maturity": 32.683, "architecture_confidence": 73.723, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.88, "rotation_up": 40.82, "upward_expansion": 65.21, "deceleration": 87.33, "rotation_down": 25.52, "downward_expansion": 12.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 85.620313, 85.389884, 85.004088, 83.586845 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 88.1997, "trend_reference": 82.125103, "distance_from_trend": 0.073968, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 72.773254, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.21198, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.096992, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.111105, "excess_performance": -0.076349, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.073968, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012382, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.21198, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008627, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.06097, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053071, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.111105, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.934637, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27285, "relative_activity": 0.291389, "balance": 0.934637, "dry_up": 1.499821, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039212, "annualized_volatility": 0.194269, "from_high_reference": -0.014528, "from_low_reference": 0.219238 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 82.125103, "fair_value_reference": 72.773254, "structural_low": 72.34, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": 0.020334, "positive_rate": 0.676471, "directional_follow_through": 0.676471, "median_excess_return": -0.002954, "regime_survival": 0.735294, "best_return": 0.065078, "worst_return": -0.095513, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.050649, "positive_rate": 0.818182, "directional_follow_through": 0.818182, "median_excess_return": -0.028104, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.160282, "worst_return": -0.078302, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.094204, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.032786, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.211209, "worst_return": -0.01828, 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81.915513, "fair_value": 72.358317, "relative_strength": -6.818095, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.566629, "energy": 27.745915, "activity_lines": [ 85.056807, 85.110236, 84.395954, 83.067249 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 83.7395, "volume": 41155, "typical_volume": 95982.2, "trend": 81.969943, "fair_value": 72.549187, "relative_strength": -6.549886, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.032406, "energy": 20.540545, "activity_lines": [ 84.626533, 84.821284, 84.504097, 83.184925 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 88.1997, "volume": 27285, "typical_volume": 93637.85, "trend": 82.125103, "fair_value": 72.773254, "relative_strength": -6.096992, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.392887, "energy": 31.49527, "activity_lines": [ 85.620313, 85.389884, 85.004088, 83.586845 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }