{ "ticker": { "uuid": "76ed7277-a513-47d3-b954-4863cc199554", "symbol": "5269", "name": "ASMedia Technology Inc.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 61.726, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 34.915, "architecture_energy": 15.02, "architecture_maturity": 47.643, "architecture_confidence": 72.272, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.76, "rotation_up": 31.66, "upward_expansion": 55.09, "deceleration": 83.16, "rotation_down": 25.07, "downward_expansion": 18.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 1387.333333, 1390.543728, 1389.282737, 1351.778506 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1415.0, "trend_reference": 1309.12275, "distance_from_trend": 0.080876, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1569.620386, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.098508, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.473427, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.149662, "excess_performance": -0.196071, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.080876, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052451, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.098508, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031978, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.224734, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.13145, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.149662, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.826076, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2346956, "relative_activity": 0.372029, "balance": 0.826076, "dry_up": 0.612714, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.105109, "annualized_volatility": 0.403727, "from_high_reference": -0.179736, "from_low_reference": 0.403914 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1309.12275, "fair_value_reference": 1569.620386, "structural_low": 1007.896714, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.025266, "positive_rate": 0.611111, "directional_follow_through": 0.611111, "median_excess_return": -0.004573, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.224227, "worst_return": -0.194503, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.008, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.042512, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.348921, "worst_return": -0.192603, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.035164, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.073609, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.338129, 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"close": 1415.0, "volume": 2346956, "typical_volume": 6308529.65, "trend": 1309.12275, "fair_value": 1569.620386, "relative_strength": -22.473427, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.914821, "energy": 15.020022, "activity_lines": [ 1387.333333, 1390.543728, 1389.282737, 1351.778506 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }