{ "ticker": { "uuid": "76f05cce-7b0c-45e7-a1f2-9d780837a571", "symbol": "GPAB", "name": "Amundi MSCI World Climate Paris Aligned UCITS ETF - Acc", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 78.822, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 91.958, "architecture_energy": 74.546, "architecture_maturity": 42.326, "architecture_confidence": 86.616, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.77, "rotation_up": 62.23, "upward_expansion": 86.93, "deceleration": 53.58, "rotation_down": 25.73, "downward_expansion": 13.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 105.763998, 105.044362, 104.195618, 102.449312 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 109.059998, "trend_reference": 100.608333, "distance_from_trend": 0.084006, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 87.476475, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.246735, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.484745, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.117189, "excess_performance": 0.034306, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.084006, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023014, "read": "Rising" 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"invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.013589, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": -0.017377, "regime_survival": 0.909091, "best_return": 0.035904, "worst_return": -0.01203, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.040242, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.014298, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.063532, "worst_return": -0.032071, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.080726, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.011745, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.106331, "worst_return": 0.055121, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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1169.4, "trend": 100.002667, "fair_value": 87.075956, "relative_strength": -4.000551, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.628016, "energy": 59.549294, "activity_lines": [ 104.361332, 104.368363, 102.888238, 101.387807 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 103.599998, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 877.4, "trend": 100.145, "fair_value": 87.19657, "relative_strength": -4.202947, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.655518, "energy": 56.056133, "activity_lines": [ 104.157332, 104.22509, 103.167762, 101.619892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 104.239998, "volume": 1706, "typical_volume": 953.85, "trend": 100.299, "fair_value": 87.320073, "relative_strength": -3.62225, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.83733, "energy": 50.074651, "activity_lines": [ 104.207998, 104.191999, 103.476714, 101.884086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 109.059998, "volume": 837, "typical_volume": 928.1, "trend": 100.608333, "fair_value": 87.476475, "relative_strength": -0.484745, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.958492, "energy": 74.546258, "activity_lines": [ 105.763998, 105.044362, 104.195618, 102.449312 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }