{ "ticker": { "uuid": "76f9518d-5f02-4453-89af-05cec5459e94", "symbol": "ADCO", "name": "Adcore Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -30.262, "architecture_energy": 53.174, "architecture_maturity": 17.688, "architecture_confidence": 83.247, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.64, "rotation_up": 16.2, "upward_expansion": 25.36, "deceleration": 52.82, "rotation_down": 71.79, "downward_expansion": 57.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.150333, 0.156545, 0.174857, 0.174473 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.15, "trend_reference": 0.170667, "distance_from_trend": -0.121094, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.212981, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.295711, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.553559, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.032258, "excess_performance": -0.152679, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.121094, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017274, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.295711, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.450924, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.295536, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.328159, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.032258, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.196721, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 44500, "relative_activity": 0.511171, "balance": 0.196721, "dry_up": 0.28459, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.11641, "annualized_volatility": 0.71321, "from_high_reference": -0.423077, "from_low_reference": 0.25 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.170667, "fair_value_reference": 0.212981, "structural_low": 0.12, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.007752, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.018484, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.035714, "worst_return": -0.073171, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.097561, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.207286, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.071429, "worst_return": -0.224806, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.160714, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.179242, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.780488, "worst_return": -0.457364, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.157895, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.088235, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.216216, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.087719, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.107143, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Extended", 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0.16, "volume": 7100, "typical_volume": 93560.0, "trend": 0.1715, "fair_value": 0.214455, "relative_strength": -27.749177, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.530262, "energy": 50.724877, "activity_lines": [ 0.165667, 0.176182, 0.187071, 0.179978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.15, "volume": 18900, "typical_volume": 93300.0, "trend": 0.171167, "fair_value": 0.214071, "relative_strength": -30.915005, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -40.965446, "energy": 63.452487, "activity_lines": [ 0.159667, 0.169091, 0.184167, 0.178591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.155, "volume": 13100, "typical_volume": 91265.0, "trend": 0.1715, "fair_value": 0.21375, "relative_strength": -27.636578, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.424823, "energy": 59.134253, "activity_lines": [ 0.157, 0.164727, 0.181643, 0.177548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.145, "volume": 22600, "typical_volume": 85805.0, "trend": 0.171167, "fair_value": 0.213365, "relative_strength": -30.779423, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.111144, "energy": 63.448992, "activity_lines": [ 0.152, 0.159727, 0.178071, 0.175839 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.15, "volume": 44500, "typical_volume": 87055.0, "trend": 0.170667, "fair_value": 0.212981, "relative_strength": -29.553559, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.2624, "energy": 53.174384, "activity_lines": [ 0.150333, 0.156545, 0.174857, 0.174473 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }