{ "ticker": { "uuid": "771abf8c-c5ee-4513-9df9-1eaa0bcc6dbc", "symbol": "TSE", "name": "Thai Solar Energy Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 81.029, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 42.248, "architecture_energy": 30.511, "architecture_maturity": 27.214, "architecture_confidence": 83.206, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.72, "rotation_up": 47.4, "upward_expansion": 70.9, "deceleration": 53.71, "rotation_down": 21.23, "downward_expansion": 9.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.799333, 0.788727, 0.793857, 0.748968 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.79, "trend_reference": 0.668333, "distance_from_trend": 0.182045, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.924623, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.145598, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 18.996988, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.926829, "excess_performance": 0.734504, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.182045, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.19988, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.145598, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02092, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.18997, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.445886, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.926829, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.044416, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17015900, "relative_activity": 0.184589, "balance": 1.044416, "dry_up": 0.442176, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.097371, "annualized_volatility": 0.745368, "from_high_reference": -0.268519, "from_low_reference": 1.323529 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.668333, "fair_value_reference": 0.924623, "structural_low": 0.34, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.064596, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.044632, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.08547, "worst_return": -0.28125, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.082988, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.122491, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.065789, "worst_return": -0.296875, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.0625, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.171008, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.014401, "worst_return": -0.1741, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"typical_volume": 98730015.0, "trend": 0.656667, "fair_value": 0.932881, "relative_strength": 18.930559, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.821268, "energy": 31.310561, "activity_lines": [ 0.803333, 0.788182, 0.792143, 0.740366 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.79, "volume": 17015900, "typical_volume": 92182615.0, "trend": 0.668333, "fair_value": 0.924623, "relative_strength": 18.996988, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.247648, "energy": 30.511127, "activity_lines": [ 0.799333, 0.788727, 0.793857, 0.748968 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }