{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "772abe9b-6ec2-476c-9ffb-66eecc98db71",
    "symbol": "KGI",
    "name": "KGI Securities (Thailand) Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.906,
    "architecture_energy": 93.541,
    "architecture_maturity": 48.203,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.857,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.0,
        "rotation_up": 87.57,
        "upward_expansion": 99.98,
        "deceleration": 39.0,
        "rotation_down": 8.02,
        "downward_expansion": 21.98
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5.026,
        4.812545,
        4.56466,
        4.420559
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 5.1,
    "trend_reference": 4.241048,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.202533,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 3.789222,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.345923,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 11.186004,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.326644,
    "excess_performance": 0.134319,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.202533,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.088844,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.345923,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.193217,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.11186,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.123275,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.326644,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.746748,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 24506400,
      "relative_activity": 1.851667,
      "balance": 2.746748,
      "dry_up": 2.235434,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.028658,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.170847,
      "from_high_reference": -0.028571,
      "from_low_reference": 0.468532
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.241048,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.789222,
      "structural_low": 3.844286,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.002304,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002601,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.101382,
        "worst_return": -0.103223,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": 0.035121,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.275253,
        "worst_return": -0.132476,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.061605,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012217,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.11282,
        "worst_return": -0.254572,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.036662,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01361,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": -0.021404,
        "worst_return": -0.180672,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.004762,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.042857,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.032258,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.072682,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.127168,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.030928,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": -0.005025,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.010256,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.040816,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.010101,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.064356,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": -0.009132,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 10857455.0,
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        "fair_value": 3.761803,
        "relative_strength": 3.046647,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 95.969056,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 38076500,
        "typical_volume": 11854420.0,
        "trend": 4.146381,
        "fair_value": 3.770829,
        "relative_strength": 8.464649,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 97.614917,
        "energy": 98.49081,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5.15,
        "volume": 27027400,
        "typical_volume": 12657230.0,
        "trend": 4.194857,
        "fair_value": 3.780289,
        "relative_strength": 11.712538,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 94.982533,
        "energy": 98.004877,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.931333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.1,
        "volume": 24506400,
        "typical_volume": 13234780.0,
        "trend": 4.241048,
        "fair_value": 3.789222,
        "relative_strength": 11.186004,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.905792,
        "energy": 93.540958,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.026,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}