{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7734de9f-e2ac-45cd-85c4-d8ae298e6048", "symbol": "002074", "name": "Gotion High-tech Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.145, "architecture_energy": 49.343, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 64.095, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.87, "rotation_up": 27.2, "upward_expansion": 20.76, "deceleration": 66.9, "rotation_down": 41.92, "downward_expansion": 68.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.485559, 27.401904, 29.909077, 31.883521 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 27.690001, "trend_reference": 34.398471, "distance_from_trend": -0.195022, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 26.870096, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.030514, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.671236, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.270932, "excess_performance": -0.278332, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.195022, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109156, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.030514, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.365313, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.276712, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.119463, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.270932, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.417673, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 135629079, "relative_activity": 0.791201, "balance": 0.417673, "dry_up": 1.021397, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086056, "annualized_volatility": 0.420577, "from_high_reference": -0.444311, "from_low_reference": 0.14575 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.398471, "fair_value_reference": 26.870096, "structural_low": 24.167581, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.016352, "positive_rate": 0.46875, "directional_follow_through": 0.53125, "median_excess_return": -0.015198, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.319075, "worst_return": -0.256764, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.072063, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": -0.027259, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.512986, "worst_return": -0.370449, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.102988, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.031743, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.088584, "worst_return": -0.171881, 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"2026-07-31", "close": 28.549999, "volume": 163902197, "typical_volume": 175213827.45, "trend": 34.779138, "fair_value": 26.85935, "relative_strength": -21.788604, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.995525, "energy": 60.360966, "activity_lines": [ 27.223582, 27.508888, 30.395096, 32.340885 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.690001, "volume": 135629079, "typical_volume": 171421699.65, "trend": 34.398471, "fair_value": 26.870096, "relative_strength": -27.671236, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.144541, "energy": 49.343063, "activity_lines": [ 27.485559, 27.401904, 29.909077, 31.883521 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }