{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7747723f-146b-4426-931e-b158bfd1ae0a", "symbol": "SEQR11", "name": "Sequoia III Renda Imobiliaria - Fundo De Investimento Imobiliaria", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 87.68, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 38.646, "architecture_energy": 40.386, "architecture_maturity": 8.441, "architecture_confidence": 74.989, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.23, "rotation_up": 69.44, "upward_expansion": 56.97, "deceleration": 24.78, "rotation_down": 17.11, "downward_expansion": 12.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 54.216, 53.438257, 53.129437, 53.244731 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 54.799999, "trend_reference": 53.177135, "distance_from_trend": 0.030518, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 44.855127, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.221711, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.99557, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.031672, "excess_performance": 0.08872, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.030518, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0261, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.221711, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00161, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.049956, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098881, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.031672, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.894996, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3308, "relative_activity": 0.940013, "balance": 1.894996, "dry_up": 1.242008, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.030956, "annualized_volatility": 0.116191, "from_high_reference": -0.057263, "from_low_reference": 0.301932 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 53.177135, "fair_value_reference": 44.855127, "structural_low": 49.621412, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.012658, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.010728, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.208169, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-06-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.06853, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-06-19", "end": "2026-07-17", 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51.594278, 51.888767, 52.733511, 52.816824 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 54.23, "volume": 4899, "typical_volume": 3828.4, "trend": 52.606674, "fair_value": 44.5681, "relative_strength": 0.305187, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 12.282093, "energy": 10.211723, "activity_lines": [ 52.586763, 52.214937, 52.828864, 52.932976 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 53.27, "volume": 6164, "typical_volume": 3719.4, "trend": 52.760869, "fair_value": 44.635556, "relative_strength": 1.04098, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 8.111936, "energy": 18.106505, "activity_lines": [ 53.042638, 52.372699, 52.827596, 52.975771 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 53.889999, "volume": 4504, "typical_volume": 3629.05, "trend": 52.909497, "fair_value": 44.706744, "relative_strength": 2.165504, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.836549, "energy": 27.731988, "activity_lines": [ 53.517338, 52.650418, 52.889134, 53.048618 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 54.200001, "volume": 3507, "typical_volume": 3563.95, "trend": 53.050758, "fair_value": 44.779212, "relative_strength": 0.658018, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.232379, "energy": 31.851345, "activity_lines": [ 53.866858, 52.989488, 52.981559, 53.131877 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 54.799999, "volume": 3308, "typical_volume": 3519.1, "trend": 53.177135, "fair_value": 44.855127, "relative_strength": 4.99557, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.646179, "energy": 40.386471, "activity_lines": [ 54.216, 53.438257, 53.129437, 53.244731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }