{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "77489510-c39a-4979-ae5a-78e3df8abde4",
    "symbol": "8059",
    "name": "CastleNet Technology Inc.",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -76.096,
    "architecture_energy": 77.434,
    "architecture_maturity": 34.673,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.829,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.38,
        "rotation_up": 13.79,
        "upward_expansion": 17.14,
        "deceleration": 38.25,
        "rotation_down": 76.1,
        "downward_expansion": 95.14
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        14.756667,
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        16.769047,
        17.469247
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 14.1,
    "trend_reference": 18.393333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.233418,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 25.888462,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.455356,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -52.852041,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.293233,
    "excess_performance": -0.734605,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.233418,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.072683,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.455356,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.177946,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.52852,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009126,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.293233,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.688141,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1147078,
      "relative_activity": 0.518039,
      "balance": 0.688141,
      "dry_up": 0.353779,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.116203,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.509151,
      "from_high_reference": -0.570776,
      "from_low_reference": 0.014388
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 18.393333,
      "fair_value_reference": 25.888462,
      "structural_low": 13.9,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": 0.013968,
        "positive_rate": 0.545455,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.454545,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007441,
        "regime_survival": 0.727273,
        "best_return": 0.390909,
        "worst_return": -0.271845,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.06681,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.121078,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 1.044281,
        "worst_return": -0.166667,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.223545,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.116643,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.940959,
        "worst_return": -0.304348,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.004902,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.159717,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.755922,
        "worst_return": -0.017199,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-01-05",
        "end": "2024-04-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.278557,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.219396,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-05-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.131783,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.118705,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-01-17",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.159021,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 2670365.55,
        "trend": 19.066667,
        "fair_value": 25.911218,
        "relative_strength": -49.206699,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.062966,
        "energy": 70.853226,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 15.55,
        "volume": 716334,
        "typical_volume": 2594277.25,
        "trend": 18.948333,
        "fair_value": 25.907692,
        "relative_strength": -49.883418,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -70.467609,
        "energy": 73.880936,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.906667,
          16.660909,
          17.808809,
          18.29
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 14.5,
        "volume": 709001,
        "typical_volume": 2537581.8,
        "trend": 18.796667,
        "fair_value": 25.897436,
        "relative_strength": -51.419324,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -78.100986,
        "energy": 78.323181,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.38,
          16.130909,
          17.437143,
          18.003011
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 15.1,
        "volume": 561036,
        "typical_volume": 2293772.35,
        "trend": 18.676667,
        "fair_value": 25.894872,
        "relative_strength": -49.254734,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.663781,
        "energy": 70.161183,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.18,
          15.799091,
          17.13619,
          17.764516
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 14.1,
        "volume": 1147078,
        "typical_volume": 2214268.45,
        "trend": 18.393333,
        "fair_value": 25.888462,
        "relative_strength": -52.852041,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -76.096456,
        "energy": 77.433948,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.756667,
          15.357273,
          16.769047,
          17.469247
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}