{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7749b40a-c51e-464a-b899-c6805cf371e0", "symbol": "DB55", "name": "Xtrackers - Harvest CSI300 UCITS ETF", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 8.694, "architecture_energy": 20.994, "architecture_maturity": 62.733, "architecture_confidence": 73.396, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.32, "rotation_up": 18.96, "upward_expansion": 43.4, "deceleration": 85.15, "rotation_down": 42.06, "downward_expansion": 32.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.676933, 11.816945, 11.837076, 11.708399 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 11.784, "trend_reference": 11.534172, "distance_from_trend": 0.02166, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.578717, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.230227, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.79448, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.066092, "excess_performance": -0.108155, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.02166, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031312, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.230227, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033197, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.137945, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.096646, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.066092, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.689703, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4890, "relative_activity": 4.046338, "balance": 1.689703, "dry_up": 1.011585, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028853, "annualized_volatility": 0.146179, "from_high_reference": -0.045984, "from_low_reference": 0.244446 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.534172, "fair_value_reference": 9.578717, "structural_low": 10.608, "invalidation": "A 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11.407905, "fair_value": 9.495416, "relative_strength": -10.686603, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.513756, "energy": 73.316583, "activity_lines": [ 12.149867, 12.067091, 11.81299, 11.634317 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 11.992, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1236.9, "trend": 11.451154, "fair_value": 9.514677, "relative_strength": -10.869504, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.648756, "energy": 58.71578, "activity_lines": [ 12.116133, 12.068691, 11.850305, 11.672001 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.448, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1100.45, "trend": 11.473626, "fair_value": 9.53113, "relative_strength": -13.084327, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.595819, "energy": 21.094766, "activity_lines": [ 11.894933, 11.964909, 11.832095, 11.671797 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.782, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1100.45, "trend": 11.50505, "fair_value": 9.547684, "relative_strength": -11.623308, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.30244, "energy": 23.200836, "activity_lines": [ 11.814667, 11.928473, 11.844705, 11.691692 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 964.0, "trend": 11.52, "fair_value": 9.560862, "relative_strength": -13.51669, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.94392, "energy": 20.836675, "activity_lines": [ 11.676267, 11.843527, 11.827495, 11.691367 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.784, "volume": 4890, "typical_volume": 1208.5, "trend": 11.534172, "fair_value": 9.578717, "relative_strength": -13.79448, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.693854, "energy": 20.994036, "activity_lines": [ 11.676933, 11.816945, 11.837076, 11.708399 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }