{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "774b65c7-40c8-469c-980d-7c5907ed706f",
    "symbol": "DWAW",
    "name": "ADVISORSHARES DORSEY WRIGHT FSM ALL CAP WORLD ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 94.064,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 57.858,
    "architecture_energy": 37.736,
    "architecture_maturity": 59.801,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.961,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.25,
        "rotation_up": 37.16,
        "upward_expansion": 60.18,
        "deceleration": 87.98,
        "rotation_down": 27.37,
        "downward_expansion": 21.51
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        50.25868,
        50.310905,
        49.791744,
        48.664644
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 51.1633,
    "trend_reference": 47.392863,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.079557,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 39.773142,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.286378,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -1.65908,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.120145,
    "excess_performance": -0.067309,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079557,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048553,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.286378,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005158,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.016591,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035728,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.120145,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.153439,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7406,
      "relative_activity": 0.776632,
      "balance": 1.153439,
      "dry_up": 0.382417,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.026948,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.178612,
      "from_high_reference": -0.014533,
      "from_low_reference": 0.250358
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 47.392863,
      "fair_value_reference": 39.773142,
      "structural_low": 41.33,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.031041,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008821,
        "regime_survival": 0.3,
        "best_return": 0.063072,
        "worst_return": -0.015494,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.053911,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013919,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.131231,
        "worst_return": -0.111461,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.068805,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.055291,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.165081,
        "worst_return": -0.041663,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.038322,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.256316,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.043503,
        "worst_return": 0.033142,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.074725,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.026737,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.046104,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.049728,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.126162,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.125578,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0145,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.027032,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.021218,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004761,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
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        "return": -0.046004,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "return": 0.030654,
        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "trend": 44.24269,
        "fair_value": 37.900761,
        "relative_strength": -4.010848,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "trend": 44.377287,
        "fair_value": 38.015669,
        "relative_strength": -4.028939,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 13098.9,
        "trend": 44.599337,
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        "relative_strength": -5.231838,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 13568.35,
        "trend": 44.971022,
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 85.627599,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 13609.35,
        "trend": 45.198329,
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        "relative_strength": -5.321506,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 49.3292,
        "volume": 2253,
        "typical_volume": 12863.65,
        "trend": 45.411189,
        "fair_value": 38.647758,
        "relative_strength": -3.447954,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 76.188311,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 12486.15,
        "trend": 45.666821,
        "fair_value": 38.774654,
        "relative_strength": -2.700803,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 79.898219,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 45.988786,
        "fair_value": 38.911805,
        "relative_strength": -3.78308,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 14250.55,
        "trend": 46.219696,
        "fair_value": 39.037564,
        "relative_strength": -1.102817,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.553531,
        "energy": 64.474379,
        "activity_lines": [
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          47.320448
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 50.2591,
        "volume": 4851,
        "typical_volume": 13014.0,
        "trend": 46.431284,
        "fair_value": 39.165728,
        "relative_strength": -2.270831,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.01182,
        "energy": 59.454054,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 50.7092,
        "volume": 3793,
        "typical_volume": 12202.1,
        "trend": 46.663007,
        "fair_value": 39.289121,
        "relative_strength": -3.046276,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.384208,
        "energy": 58.185936,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 49.5016,
        "volume": 848,
        "typical_volume": 11906.2,
        "trend": 46.843833,
        "fair_value": 39.403345,
        "relative_strength": -1.190032,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.551988,
        "energy": 43.715276,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.23636,
          50.302675,
          49.109933,
          48.040184
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 49.9283,
        "volume": 3555,
        "typical_volume": 11906.35,
        "trend": 47.018277,
        "fair_value": 39.518984,
        "relative_strength": 1.290157,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.570184,
        "energy": 37.000048,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.051413,
          50.265993,
          49.337574,
          48.239182
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 49.6416,
        "volume": 2778,
        "typical_volume": 11052.45,
        "trend": 47.191963,
        "fair_value": 39.639686,
        "relative_strength": 0.212544,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.407832,
        "energy": 30.811564,
        "activity_lines": [
          49.873567,
          50.150929,
          49.508064,
          48.408428
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 51.1633,
        "volume": 7406,
        "typical_volume": 9536.05,
        "trend": 47.392863,
        "fair_value": 39.773142,
        "relative_strength": -1.65908,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.857581,
        "energy": 37.735843,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.25868,
          50.310905,
          49.791744,
          48.664644
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}