{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "774cd915-be14-4af5-a881-3f4b8569be61",
    "symbol": "600237",
    "name": "Anhui Tongfeng Electronics Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 75.666,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -21.806,
    "architecture_energy": 35.557,
    "architecture_maturity": 45.879,
    "architecture_confidence": 49.443,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.25,
        "rotation_up": 14.11,
        "upward_expansion": 16.57,
        "deceleration": 68.13,
        "rotation_down": 65.37,
        "downward_expansion": 41.57
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        8.438,
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        9.824804,
        9.757239
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 8.94,
    "trend_reference": 9.729548,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.081149,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 7.346858,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.216847,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.298502,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.058518,
    "excess_performance": -0.015314,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.081149,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06418,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.216847,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.074278,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002985,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018993,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058518,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.723843,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 215663823,
      "relative_activity": 1.289232,
      "balance": 1.723843,
      "dry_up": 1.172016,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.1852,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.801112,
      "from_high_reference": -0.339734,
      "from_low_reference": 0.281647
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 9.729548,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.346858,
      "structural_low": 7.01,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.018431,
        "positive_rate": 0.4375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005723,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.315079,
        "worst_return": -0.131195,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.150079,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": 0.09735,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.2672,
        "worst_return": -0.180157,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.148265,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.040438,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.298335,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.0304,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.125337,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.416133,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.056338,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-01-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.011478,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2024-11-01",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-09",
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        "return": 0.031818,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.059248,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 165413776.65,
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        "fair_value": 7.338398,
        "relative_strength": -7.254031,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -27.700593,
        "energy": 37.882206,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
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        "typical_volume": 167280804.7,
        "trend": 9.729548,
        "fair_value": 7.346858,
        "relative_strength": 0.298502,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}