{ "ticker": { "uuid": "774d28f2-8c28-4fe3-ba34-e0a756cfd429", "symbol": "DITTO", "name": "Ditto (Thailand) Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.024, "architecture_energy": 54.115, "architecture_maturity": 49.146, "architecture_confidence": 87.371, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.97, "rotation_up": 62.28, "upward_expansion": 84.04, "deceleration": 63.57, "rotation_down": 20.62, "downward_expansion": 8.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.52, 15.22, 13.966948, 13.170328 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 14.7, "trend_reference": 12.343788, "distance_from_trend": 0.190882, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.532036, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.053569, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.256049, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.343023, "excess_performance": 0.150698, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.190882, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.123486, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.053569, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.242859, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.05256, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.141089, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.343023, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.612493, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17330700, "relative_activity": 1.000703, "balance": 2.612493, "dry_up": 1.748852, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.104134, "annualized_volatility": 0.630084, "from_high_reference": -0.125, "from_low_reference": 0.489293 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.343788, "fair_value_reference": 15.532036, "structural_low": 9.870455, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.057692, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.053295, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.155556, "worst_return": -0.136691, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.23864, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.25509, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.172932, "worst_return": -0.304348, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.301501, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.396234, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.052632, "worst_return": -0.550371, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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82.53647, "activity_lines": [ 15.346667, 14.496364, 13.064665, 12.499477 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.9, "volume": 41329700, "typical_volume": 16388285.0, "trend": 12.033939, "fair_value": 15.702175, "relative_strength": 12.071353, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.649624, "energy": 75.043403, "activity_lines": [ 15.693334, 14.909091, 13.428355, 12.760186 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.9, "volume": 10991500, "typical_volume": 16660385.0, "trend": 12.208864, "fair_value": 15.623176, "relative_strength": 13.034735, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.941664, "energy": 63.642832, "activity_lines": [ 15.88, 15.225455, 13.767056, 13.009609 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.7, "volume": 17330700, "typical_volume": 17318520.0, "trend": 12.343788, "fair_value": 15.532036, "relative_strength": 5.256049, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.024035, "energy": 54.115069, "activity_lines": [ 15.52, 15.22, 13.966948, 13.170328 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }