{ "ticker": { "uuid": "775088f1-b3e4-4997-ba82-389763ac0aef", "symbol": "301358", "name": "Hunan Yuneng New Energy Battery Material Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 66.641, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -37.582, "architecture_energy": 61.612, "architecture_maturity": 19.807, "architecture_confidence": 64.53, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.56, "rotation_up": 18.6, "upward_expansion": 22.05, "deceleration": 44.09, "rotation_down": 68.91, "downward_expansion": 63.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 63.534001, 66.25891, 73.618066, 74.898488 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 65.160004, "trend_reference": 74.263966, "distance_from_trend": -0.122589, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 45.530163, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.431139, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.358301, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.040479, "excess_performance": 0.033079, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.122589, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012929, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.431139, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.827868, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.043583, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.507983, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.040479, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.400199, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 75099666, "relative_activity": 0.723149, "balance": 0.400199, "dry_up": 0.896145, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.122597, "annualized_volatility": 0.62807, "from_high_reference": -0.405224, "from_low_reference": 1.143687 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 74.263966, "fair_value_reference": 45.530163, "structural_low": 58.080002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.08086, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.03394, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.031829, "worst_return": -0.193548, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.120542, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.13434, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.120542, "worst_return": -0.120542, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.765344, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.460418, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.765344, "worst_return": 0.765344, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.565902, "energy": 47.767811, "activity_lines": [ 70.768668, 75.302584, 79.712306, 77.858318 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 59.470001, "volume": 96338041, "typical_volume": 110610310.2, "trend": 74.430837, "fair_value": 45.136192, "relative_strength": -6.883372, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -43.091751, "energy": 60.911439, "activity_lines": [ 66.520001, 71.486789, 77.809046, 76.881135 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 63.919998, "volume": 109682300, "typical_volume": 111476032.1, "trend": 74.481639, "fair_value": 45.281656, "relative_strength": -1.129262, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.630748, "energy": 57.887654, "activity_lines": [ 64.634, 69.159824, 76.364207, 76.203016 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 63.34, "volume": 91141872, "typical_volume": 107213839.6, "trend": 74.238559, "fair_value": 45.387801, "relative_strength": -1.317417, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.48267, "energy": 65.599102, "activity_lines": [ 63.365333, 67.294182, 74.866927, 75.484201 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 65.160004, "volume": 75099666, "typical_volume": 103850911.85, "trend": 74.263966, "fair_value": 45.530163, "relative_strength": -4.358301, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.581697, "energy": 61.612137, "activity_lines": [ 63.534001, 66.25891, 73.618066, 74.898488 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }