{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7758c3e6-b09d-4562-8112-7e5a44c7d33d", "symbol": "300907", "name": "Kangping Technology (Suzhou) Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 22.773, "architecture_energy": 24.035, "architecture_maturity": 69.034, "architecture_confidence": 93.992, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.03, "rotation_up": 20.36, "upward_expansion": 54.26, "deceleration": 91.16, "rotation_down": 42.05, "downward_expansion": 22.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.775999, 44.917217, 43.206954, 40.068998 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 41.009998, "trend_reference": 36.439678, "distance_from_trend": 0.125422, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.557067, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.604644, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 13.117596, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.388287, "excess_performance": 0.380887, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.125422, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.171882, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.604644, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.229067, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.131176, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.278141, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.388287, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.373398, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14852755, "relative_activity": 0.99699, "balance": 1.373398, "dry_up": 1.168603, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.220086, "annualized_volatility": 0.729105, "from_high_reference": -0.348343, "from_low_reference": 0.574885 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.439678, "fair_value_reference": 25.557067, "structural_low": 26.040001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.034529, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.039308, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.232164, "worst_return": -0.131172, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.141916, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.059412, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.386634, "worst_return": -0.040897, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.154119, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.08113, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.381246, "worst_return": -0.073008, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 12684568.75, "trend": 34.917012, "fair_value": 25.031488, "relative_strength": 36.843639, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.794574, "energy": 61.233438, "activity_lines": [ 52.521775, 49.37797, 42.243818, 38.725216 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 47.599998, "volume": 18885887, "typical_volume": 13382768.1, "trend": 35.513678, "fair_value": 25.20631, "relative_strength": 37.440163, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.467818, "energy": 56.232559, "activity_lines": [ 51.447865, 49.738145, 43.219769, 39.543473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 38.400002, "volume": 22506601, "typical_volume": 14132767.95, "trend": 35.829345, "fair_value": 25.324342, "relative_strength": 10.051413, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.614949, "energy": 32.68994, "activity_lines": [ 47.234112, 48.144685, 43.241244, 39.729687 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 36.139999, "volume": 13392239, "typical_volume": 14514953.8, "trend": 36.061345, "fair_value": 25.422789, "relative_strength": 4.871922, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.922209, "energy": 19.885681, "activity_lines": [ 42.630045, 46.043042, 43.00848, 39.74973 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.009998, "volume": 14852755, "typical_volume": 14897596.55, "trend": 36.439678, "fair_value": 25.557067, "relative_strength": 13.117596, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.77316, "energy": 24.034936, "activity_lines": [ 40.775999, 44.917217, 43.206954, 40.068998 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }