{ "ticker": { "uuid": "77738142-f3a8-4b2f-b9c5-2d1d5fd07bda", "symbol": "200056", "name": "Shenzhen Wongtee International Enterprise Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.897, "architecture_energy": 68.824, "architecture_maturity": 38.048, "architecture_confidence": 87.586, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.68, "rotation_up": 11.92, "upward_expansion": 15.18, "deceleration": 38.3, "rotation_down": 68.94, "downward_expansion": 88.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.511333, 0.545273, 0.575857, 0.613892 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.53, "trend_reference": 0.663, "distance_from_trend": -0.200603, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.940577, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.436516, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.575814, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.311688, "excess_performance": -0.319088, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.200603, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067073, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.436516, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050649, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.285758, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.129604, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.311688, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.836388, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 535772, "relative_activity": 0.664017, "balance": 0.836388, "dry_up": 0.568237, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.148041, "annualized_volatility": 0.584334, "from_high_reference": -0.475248, "from_low_reference": 0.12766 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.663, "fair_value_reference": 0.940577, "structural_low": 0.47, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.017299, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.633333, "median_excess_return": -0.011007, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 0.222222, "worst_return": -0.246154, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.014758, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.059851, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.442105, "worst_return": -0.290323, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.067282, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.077275, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.473118, "worst_return": -0.326531, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-05-10", "end": "2024-05-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.111111, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-05-31", "end": "2024-06-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.168142, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-06-28", "end": "2024-10-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.086022, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.015748, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.090226, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 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"energy": 38.495023, "activity_lines": [ 0.582, 0.587455, 0.61581, 0.648774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.49, "volume": 399200, "typical_volume": 860658.85, "trend": 0.680333, "fair_value": 0.946026, "relative_strength": -33.763666, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.670335, "energy": 50.728647, "activity_lines": [ 0.547333, 0.570182, 0.600238, 0.635892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.48, "volume": 366700, "typical_volume": 829859.85, "trend": 0.670667, "fair_value": 0.943205, "relative_strength": -33.030849, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.594341, "energy": 73.679757, "activity_lines": [ 0.515333, 0.553091, 0.585, 0.622968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.53, "volume": 535772, "typical_volume": 806865.45, "trend": 0.663, "fair_value": 0.940577, "relative_strength": -28.575814, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.896876, "energy": 68.824485, "activity_lines": [ 0.511333, 0.545273, 0.575857, 0.613892 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }