{ "ticker": { "uuid": "77754184-bc44-44c6-b0d8-443d77c4895c", "symbol": "300712", "name": "Fujian Yongfu Power Engineering Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.338, "architecture_energy": 52.758, "architecture_maturity": 56.618, "architecture_confidence": 95.652, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.57, "rotation_up": 25.32, "upward_expansion": 8.39, "deceleration": 57.16, "rotation_down": 53.8, "downward_expansion": 81.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.045333, 21.33978, 22.562525, 24.101737 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 20.83, "trend_reference": 25.887358, "distance_from_trend": -0.19536, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 25.201853, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.173473, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.400515, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.254207, "excess_performance": -0.261607, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.19536, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087077, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.173473, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.194157, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.244005, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054993, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.254207, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.57343, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7076702, "relative_activity": 0.60123, "balance": 0.57343, "dry_up": 0.745233, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095389, "annualized_volatility": 0.353144, "from_high_reference": -0.404347, "from_low_reference": 0.057897 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.887358, "fair_value_reference": 25.201853, "structural_low": 19.690001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.004492, "positive_rate": 0.448276, "directional_follow_through": 0.551724, "median_excess_return": -0.016729, "regime_survival": 0.827586, "best_return": 0.434691, "worst_return": -0.21097, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.104537, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.069591, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 1.307766, "worst_return": -0.375851, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.05543, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.103611, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.44039, "worst_return": -0.275585, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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26.577358, "fair_value": 25.479094, "relative_strength": -18.994971, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.626855, "energy": 51.627741, "activity_lines": [ 22.066, 22.074087, 23.81625, 25.185569 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.549999, "volume": 10962893, "typical_volume": 15154820.55, "trend": 26.311358, "fair_value": 25.38402, "relative_strength": -23.781211, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.983165, "energy": 51.133923, "activity_lines": [ 21.616666, 21.723468, 23.332817, 24.796707 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.780001, "volume": 6351843, "typical_volume": 12856851.8, "trend": 26.070691, "fair_value": 25.288638, "relative_strength": -21.212758, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.685797, "energy": 51.835694, "activity_lines": [ 21.34, 21.499287, 22.920481, 24.439846 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.83, "volume": 7076702, "typical_volume": 11770373.8, "trend": 25.887358, "fair_value": 25.201853, "relative_strength": -24.400515, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.33798, "energy": 52.758314, "activity_lines": [ 21.045333, 21.33978, 22.562525, 24.101737 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }