{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "777f4121-77b9-476b-9934-1e0d66ee4969",
    "symbol": "SDV",
    "name": "SciDev Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 92.483,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -10.99,
    "architecture_energy": 18.411,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 40.891,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 44.15,
        "rotation_up": 28.5,
        "upward_expansion": 29.46,
        "deceleration": 50.16,
        "rotation_down": 25.63,
        "downward_expansion": 53.79
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.132,
        0.128545,
        0.121271,
        0.144069
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.155,
    "trend_reference": 0.195317,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.206417,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.342913,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.547991,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -45.848097,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.586667,
    "excess_performance": -0.650372,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.206417,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.351538,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.547991,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.173959,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.458481,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.233582,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.586667,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.395069,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2569190,
      "relative_activity": 1.364973,
      "balance": 0.395069,
      "dry_up": 0.520149,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.131017,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.160446,
      "from_high_reference": -0.696078,
      "from_low_reference": 0.781609
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.195317,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.342913,
      "structural_low": 0.087,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": -0.019295,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.566667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.019292,
        "regime_survival": 0.833333,
        "best_return": 0.727273,
        "worst_return": -0.494624,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.1,
        "positive_rate": 0.272727,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.727273,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0879,
        "regime_survival": 0.636364,
        "best_return": 0.583333,
        "worst_return": -0.447619,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.239535,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.304934,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.729167,
        "worst_return": -0.627119,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.44186,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.482095,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.383333,
        "worst_return": -0.555556,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-07-21",
        "end": "2024-01-19",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.2,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-03-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.08,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.204545,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.289474,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-02-28",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-08-15",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.11,
        "volume": 562297,
        "typical_volume": 1769803.65,
        "trend": 0.20515,
        "fair_value": 0.343843,
        "relative_strength": -60.860794,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.673614,
        "energy": 44.644173,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.123333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.155,
        "volume": 2569190,
        "typical_volume": 1882227.4,
        "trend": 0.195317,
        "fair_value": 0.342913,
        "relative_strength": -45.848097,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -10.989632,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}