{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "779c6cc9-f257-43da-90b5-f9cd15766371",
    "symbol": "HUM",
    "name": "Hamilton U.S. Mid-Cap Financials ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 79.891,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 85.345,
    "architecture_energy": 84.774,
    "architecture_maturity": 11.85,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.957,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.54,
        "rotation_up": 83.73,
        "upward_expansion": 93.29,
        "deceleration": 45.75,
        "rotation_down": 9.02,
        "downward_expansion": 17.62
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        38.498667,
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        36.098706
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 39.23,
    "trend_reference": 35.724436,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.098128,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 33.141696,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.183705,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.599684,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.051415,
    "excess_performance": -0.069007,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.098128,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012066,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.183705,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096265,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025997,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.100581,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051415,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.352941,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 400,
      "relative_activity": 0.555556,
      "balance": 1.352941,
      "dry_up": 0.208333,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023307,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.180103,
      "from_high_reference": -0.007087,
      "from_low_reference": 0.212299
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 35.724436,
      "fair_value_reference": 33.141696,
      "structural_low": 32.360001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": -0.01319,
        "positive_rate": 0.478261,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.478261,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008779,
        "regime_survival": 0.695652,
        "best_return": 0.091569,
        "worst_return": -0.158849,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
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        "positive_rate": 0.4,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.235839,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "worst_return": -0.21735,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -26.726385,
        "energy": 27.961645,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.806666,
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          34.908793,
          35.16456
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 35.272812,
        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 1580.0,
        "trend": 35.248649,
        "fair_value": 31.989998,
        "relative_strength": -11.657163,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -18.368233,
        "energy": 28.968786,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.130937,
          34.408877,
          34.883118,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 34.884106,
        "volume": 200,
        "typical_volume": 1585.0,
        "trend": 35.261472,
        "fair_value": 32.079089,
        "relative_strength": -12.657792,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -19.264142,
        "energy": 25.368697,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.131451,
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          34.828232,
          35.140654
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 34.196392,
        "volume": 1200,
        "typical_volume": 1640.0,
        "trend": 35.267261,
        "fair_value": 32.157246,
        "relative_strength": -13.280701,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -34.483605,
        "energy": 22.593231,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.813121,
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          34.717508,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 34.983772,
        "volume": 900,
        "typical_volume": 1670.0,
        "trend": 35.274801,
        "fair_value": 32.239923,
        "relative_strength": -12.510725,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -16.664078,
        "energy": 10.452242,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.813491,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 34.644897,
        "volume": 300,
        "typical_volume": 1605.0,
        "trend": 35.298519,
        "fair_value": 32.315155,
        "relative_strength": -13.658151,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.302329,
        "energy": 17.603262,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.719318,
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          35.01301
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 34.595066,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1395.0,
        "trend": 35.309322,
        "fair_value": 32.387036,
        "relative_strength": -12.484393,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -34.403553,
        "energy": 21.983722,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.652208,
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          34.606612,
          34.967626
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 35.880795,
        "volume": 1000,
        "typical_volume": 1440.0,
        "trend": 35.344114,
        "fair_value": 32.46584,
        "relative_strength": -10.192577,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 6.748466,
        "energy": 12.100843,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.058858,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 35.781128,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1030.0,
        "trend": 35.402065,
        "fair_value": 32.551915,
        "relative_strength": -10.123841,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 5.753517,
        "energy": 33.248387,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.365839,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 36.179798,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1000.0,
        "trend": 35.430603,
        "fair_value": 32.635128,
        "relative_strength": -8.720253,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 34.426356,
        "energy": 56.411399,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.700061,
          35.329304,
          34.920171,
          35.082866
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 37.48,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 990.0,
        "trend": 35.491558,
        "fair_value": 32.727933,
        "relative_strength": -5.72081,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 51.985382,
        "energy": 75.907886,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.387949,
          35.748963,
          35.179171,
          35.215086
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 37.610001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 930.0,
        "trend": 35.514806,
        "fair_value": 32.814951,
        "relative_strength": -5.136446,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 60.082184,
        "energy": 84.94723,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.930163,
          36.152622,
          35.444009,
          35.351759
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 38.810001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 825.0,
        "trend": 35.578054,
        "fair_value": 32.90112,
        "relative_strength": -1.618007,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 69.023147,
        "energy": 88.784667,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.671382,
          36.731968,
          35.816019,
          35.564352
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 37.459999,
        "volume": 200,
        "typical_volume": 800.0,
        "trend": 35.593323,
        "fair_value": 32.975789,
        "relative_strength": -4.926598,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.280274,
        "energy": 88.34435,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.76732,
          36.99448,
          36.045871,
          35.685768
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 38.43,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 735.0,
        "trend": 35.666136,
        "fair_value": 33.056145,
        "relative_strength": -1.744488,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.649733,
        "energy": 90.04801,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.074667,
          37.374017,
          36.351883,
          35.86878
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 39.23,
        "volume": 400,
        "typical_volume": 720.0,
        "trend": 35.724436,
        "fair_value": 33.141696,
        "relative_strength": -2.599684,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.345443,
        "energy": 84.7737,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.498667,
          37.83635,
          36.706508,
          36.098706
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}