{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "77a739fd-1a6c-4681-a7c9-05d3e6974e19",
    "symbol": "PGC",
    "name": "Peapack-Gladstone Financial",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 43.756,
    "architecture_energy": 35.513,
    "architecture_maturity": 64.388,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.305,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.83,
        "rotation_up": 33.75,
        "upward_expansion": 62.32,
        "deceleration": 91.07,
        "rotation_down": 26.92,
        "downward_expansion": 16.99
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        46.032,
        46.231091,
        44.937692,
        42.787648
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 45.8,
    "trend_reference": 39.668615,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.154565,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 29.608307,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.546863,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 17.2574,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.303486,
    "excess_performance": 0.116033,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.154565,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.184615,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.546863,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019698,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.172574,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017457,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.303486,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.641505,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 967765,
      "relative_activity": 1.22301,
      "balance": 0.641505,
      "dry_up": 1.395729,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.063186,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.223445,
      "from_high_reference": -0.067958,
      "from_low_reference": 0.862079
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 39.668615,
      "fair_value_reference": 29.608307,
      "structural_low": 32.322081,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.015562,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.043579,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.136272,
        "worst_return": -0.193188,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.138523,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.139508,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.384221,
        "worst_return": -0.195604,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.147605,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.365255,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.035825,
        "worst_return": -0.259385,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.156333,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.519043,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.114519,
        "worst_return": -0.198147,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.123331,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.084689,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.177088,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.093067,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013495,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.048176,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.050869,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.075385,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.001011,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.047872,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.047581,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-04-03",
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        "return": 0.043215,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.199425,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 651762.3,
        "trend": 36.767895,
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        "relative_strength": 27.013338,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 707181.45,
        "trend": 37.322518,
        "fair_value": 29.161908,
        "relative_strength": 21.248492,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 63.401159,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 46.1,
        "volume": 1022946,
        "typical_volume": 724849.45,
        "trend": 37.874138,
        "fair_value": 29.272272,
        "relative_strength": 25.567832,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.136957,
        "energy": 59.650375,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.55,
          45.922182,
          43.736048,
          41.32237
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 46.38,
        "volume": 1081524,
        "typical_volume": 742309.3,
        "trend": 38.482632,
        "fair_value": 29.382611,
        "relative_strength": 27.391222,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.069092,
        "energy": 50.78885,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.514,
          46.16,
          44.227371,
          41.871135
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 45.98,
        "volume": 1345511,
        "typical_volume": 773175.95,
        "trend": 39.091423,
        "fair_value": 29.492394,
        "relative_strength": 24.599066,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.007842,
        "energy": 39.866571,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.236,
          46.240545,
          44.62122,
          42.354836
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 45.8,
        "volume": 967765,
        "typical_volume": 791297.45,
        "trend": 39.668615,
        "fair_value": 29.608307,
        "relative_strength": 17.2574,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.756031,
        "energy": 35.512609,
        "activity_lines": [
          46.032,
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          44.937692,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}