{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "77b074c3-a793-40d0-941b-0bd3bc960f5c",
    "symbol": "002746",
    "name": "Shandong Xiantan Group Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 51.429,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 29.68,
    "architecture_energy": 37.609,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.84,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.33,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.96,
        "rotation_up": 69.87,
        "upward_expansion": 43.56,
        "deceleration": 41.54,
        "rotation_down": 14.06,
        "downward_expansion": 16.23
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        6.062667,
        5.807091,
        5.781513,
        5.832809
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 6.19,
    "trend_reference": 5.906523,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.047994,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 5.846701,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.058717,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.346244,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.012095,
    "excess_performance": -0.019495,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047994,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018711,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058717,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023884,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003462,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.156429,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.012095,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.663449,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 74450119,
      "relative_activity": 1.258361,
      "balance": 0.663449,
      "dry_up": 1.725685,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.0586,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.316943,
      "from_high_reference": -0.054413,
      "from_low_reference": 0.235529
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 5.906523,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.846701,
      "structural_low": 5.01,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.018475,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.017045,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.020339,
        "worst_return": 0.016611,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.016491,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.014311,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.016491,
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.047351,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.113528,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.047351,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.129311,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.122042,
        "worst_return": 0.122042,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.006547,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-01-09",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      },
      {
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      {
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      {
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "energy": 20.721862,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 61304212.2,
        "trend": 5.888424,
        "fair_value": 5.86419,
        "relative_strength": -1.27001,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -19.645774,
        "energy": 19.382971,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 6.14,
        "volume": 60895618,
        "typical_volume": 59035480.85,
        "trend": 5.895835,
        "fair_value": 5.855799,
        "relative_strength": 4.429296,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 16.678484,
        "energy": 27.224606,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.932667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 6.19,
        "volume": 74450119,
        "typical_volume": 59164371.25,
        "trend": 5.906523,
        "fair_value": 5.846701,
        "relative_strength": 0.346244,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 29.67998,
        "energy": 37.609357,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}