{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "77bf6319-afb2-468d-91ff-16a6280994b0",
    "symbol": "PSB",
    "name": "Punjab & Sind Bank",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -47.644,
    "architecture_energy": 36.744,
    "architecture_maturity": 15.278,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.034,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 47.77,
        "rotation_up": 16.22,
        "upward_expansion": 7.56,
        "deceleration": 42.29,
        "rotation_down": 51.62,
        "downward_expansion": 73.89
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        23.750657,
        23.988038,
        24.089702,
        24.235554
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 23.790001,
    "trend_reference": 24.806318,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.04097,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 40.544902,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.413243,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -9.778287,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.12214,
    "excess_performance": -0.078431,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.04097,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.057797,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.413243,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021371,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.097783,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.013701,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.12214,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.669652,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5187968,
      "relative_activity": 0.87886,
      "balance": 0.669652,
      "dry_up": 1.158727,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.041566,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.236343,
      "from_high_reference": -0.267098,
      "from_low_reference": 0.160488
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 24.806318,
      "fair_value_reference": 40.544902,
      "structural_low": 20.5,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": -0.047059,
        "positive_rate": 0.411765,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.411765,
        "median_excess_return": -0.042384,
        "regime_survival": 0.529412,
        "best_return": 0.193038,
        "worst_return": -0.143695,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.038674,
        "positive_rate": 0.142857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.142857,
        "median_excess_return": -0.064069,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.226973,
        "worst_return": -0.124837,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.10701,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.118909,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.87171,
        "worst_return": -0.192458,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.155542,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.226936,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 1.203547,
        "worst_return": -0.441178,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2022-10-21",
        "end": "2022-10-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.041139,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2022-11-04",
        "end": "2023-01-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.713137,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2023-04-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.269841,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.066165,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2023-07-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.120198,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "return": 0.173077,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-11-03",
        "end": "2023-12-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.149383,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.37935,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.002008,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.453788,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": true
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    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2026-04-10",
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      },
      {
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 24.3811,
        "volume": 6113489,
        "typical_volume": 6263405.65,
        "trend": 25.226318,
        "fair_value": 40.725192,
        "relative_strength": -7.628284,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -16.552584,
        "energy": 9.532303,
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          24.437533,
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          24.222885,
          24.528884
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 23.77,
        "volume": 9109995,
        "typical_volume": 6247059.9,
        "trend": 25.123984,
        "fair_value": 40.666569,
        "relative_strength": -7.462804,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.051091,
        "energy": 18.155694,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.208897,
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          24.19284,
          24.434928
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 23.16,
        "volume": 6948691,
        "typical_volume": 6100746.85,
        "trend": 24.916318,
        "fair_value": 40.604672,
        "relative_strength": -11.776708,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.522095,
        "energy": 34.783027,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.838667,
          24.042393,
          24.110223,
          24.30822
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 23.790001,
        "volume": 5187968,
        "typical_volume": 5903063.15,
        "trend": 24.806318,
        "fair_value": 40.544902,
        "relative_strength": -9.778287,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.643734,
        "energy": 36.74357,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.750657,
          23.988038,
          24.089702,
          24.235554
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}