{ "ticker": { "uuid": "77c54cb0-a062-499e-b474-e1a4d727ee4f", "symbol": "6624", "name": "Ever-Clear Environmental Eng. Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.034, "architecture_energy": 41.979, "architecture_maturity": 55.159, "architecture_confidence": 93.67, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.64, "rotation_up": 25.38, "upward_expansion": 5.38, "deceleration": 56.56, "rotation_down": 49.29, "downward_expansion": 78.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.100001, 41.425455, 43.099286, 46.502903 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 40.400002, "trend_reference": 51.406666, "distance_from_trend": -0.21411, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 41.872914, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.035176, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.683309, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.36875, "excess_performance": -0.810122, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.21411, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073559, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.035176, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.149133, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.396833, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099021, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.36875, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.452555, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37004, "relative_activity": 0.282822, "balance": 0.452555, "dry_up": 0.163499, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.135567, "annualized_volatility": 0.602349, "from_high_reference": -0.461333, "from_low_reference": 0.276461 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 51.406666, "fair_value_reference": 41.872914, "structural_low": 38.349998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.004429, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.001553, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.940086, "worst_return": -0.120095, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.015406, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.00799, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.936073, "worst_return": -0.128235, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.069437, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.014996, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.721212, "worst_return": -0.060937, "sufficient": true }, { 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"fair_value": 41.970185, "relative_strength": -30.803142, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.053361, "energy": 44.526327, "activity_lines": [ 42.676665, 42.798181, 46.029523, 49.788602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 39.5, "volume": 17034, "typical_volume": 157231.9, "trend": 53.803333, "fair_value": 41.94573, "relative_strength": -39.340639, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.63112, "energy": 45.8213, "activity_lines": [ 41.733332, 42.142726, 45.061428, 48.816989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.450001, "volume": 4000, "typical_volume": 140376.9, "trend": 52.791666, "fair_value": 41.892031, "relative_strength": -39.792937, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.235301, "energy": 51.723132, "activity_lines": [ 40.64, 41.426363, 44.079047, 47.826451 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 43.950001, "volume": 27530, "typical_volume": 138188.4, "trend": 52.073333, "fair_value": 41.888898, "relative_strength": -32.501406, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.210842, "energy": 39.162555, "activity_lines": [ 41.423334, 41.785454, 43.726905, 47.256021 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 40.400002, "volume": 37004, "typical_volume": 130838.35, "trend": 51.406666, "fair_value": 41.872914, "relative_strength": -39.683309, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.033917, "energy": 41.97928, "activity_lines": [ 41.100001, 41.425455, 43.099286, 46.502903 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }