{ "ticker": { "uuid": "77d5f860-a9cd-4b36-af70-974e7085eb78", "symbol": "FXP", "name": "PROSHARES TRUST ULTRASHORT FTSE CHINA 50 NEW (REV/SPT)", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 5.084, "architecture_energy": 24.656, "architecture_maturity": 62.031, "architecture_confidence": 79.772, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.13, "rotation_up": 15.98, "upward_expansion": 50.52, "deceleration": 91.07, "rotation_down": 46.63, "downward_expansion": 27.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.269727, 21.609159, 21.406915, 21.00074 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 19.4374, "trend_reference": 20.202915, "distance_from_trend": -0.037891, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 37.705759, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.484498, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.670365, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.128146, "excess_performance": 0.002521, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.037891, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.084097, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.484498, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05398, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.086704, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027331, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.128146, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.161947, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 22496, "relative_activity": 0.848681, "balance": 1.161947, "dry_up": 0.763713, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102007, "annualized_volatility": 0.398187, "from_high_reference": -0.258115, "from_low_reference": 0.248257 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.202915, "fair_value_reference": 37.705759, "structural_low": 16.82758, 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38.1509, "relative_strength": 3.667921, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.255028, "energy": 30.615535, "activity_lines": [ 22.59444, 22.7334, 21.773239, 21.10871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.07, "volume": 22817, "typical_volume": 28021.2, "trend": 20.128075, "fair_value": 37.941285, "relative_strength": -7.613672, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.793707, "energy": 17.989848, "activity_lines": [ 21.154413, 22.123605, 21.570054, 21.0453 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.4374, "volume": 22496, "typical_volume": 26507.0, "trend": 20.202915, "fair_value": 37.705759, "relative_strength": -8.670365, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.084061, "energy": 24.656041, "activity_lines": [ 20.269727, 21.609159, 21.406915, 21.00074 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }