{ "ticker": { "uuid": "77dfe11c-f3ed-4d00-aeaa-615e8631353c", "symbol": "CRM", "name": "Salesforce, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 9.816, "architecture_energy": 19.077, "architecture_maturity": 31.202, "architecture_confidence": 55.466, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.1, "rotation_up": 42.3, "upward_expansion": 32.79, "deceleration": 46.94, "rotation_down": 17.07, "downward_expansion": 43.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 155.43867, 149.755837, 149.738472, 152.141343 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 165.660004, "trend_reference": 157.605237, "distance_from_trend": 0.051107, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 224.837518, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.263201, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -26.638022, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.028232, "excess_performance": -0.146015, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.051107, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.12207, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.263201, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070996, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.26638, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.101092, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.028232, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.379281, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3352, "relative_activity": 1.674117, "balance": 1.379281, "dry_up": 1.825571, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.071489, "annualized_volatility": 0.416787, "from_high_reference": -0.273311, "from_low_reference": 0.251209 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 157.605237, "fair_value_reference": 224.837518, "structural_low": 132.399994, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.001544, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.010445, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.226105, "worst_return": -0.182407, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.038646, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.017562, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.309148, "worst_return": -0.239431, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.110584, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.2431, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.428185, "worst_return": -0.358331, 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145.15452, 148.46403, 153.298312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 143.720001, "volume": 4042, "typical_volume": 1833.2, "trend": 161.511684, "fair_value": 225.189941, "relative_strength": -35.949228, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.983061, "energy": 28.394045, "activity_lines": [ 144.482667, 144.458354, 147.635591, 151.981619 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 157.820007, "volume": 2811, "typical_volume": 1886.2, "trend": 159.492613, "fair_value": 224.970629, "relative_strength": -28.736903, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.617388, "energy": 12.574306, "activity_lines": [ 149.332003, 146.432079, 148.287531, 151.743447 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 165.660004, "volume": 3352, "typical_volume": 2002.25, "trend": 157.605237, "fair_value": 224.837518, "relative_strength": -26.638022, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 9.816048, "energy": 19.076507, "activity_lines": [ 155.43867, 149.755837, 149.738472, 152.141343 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }