{ "ticker": { "uuid": "78040cd0-a4a3-459e-9787-33429bd09546", "symbol": "KOHINOOR", "name": "Kohinoor Foods Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.238, "architecture_energy": 63.996, "architecture_maturity": 8.957, "architecture_confidence": 85.992, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.42, "rotation_up": 9.46, "upward_expansion": 13.57, "deceleration": 37.34, "rotation_down": 74.6, "downward_expansion": 91.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.278666, 23.898364, 24.458381, 24.498667 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 23.049999, "trend_reference": 24.572667, "distance_from_trend": -0.061966, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 35.613077, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.352766, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.979728, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.105896, "excess_performance": -0.062187, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.061966, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049989, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.352766, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075442, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.149797, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05526, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.105896, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.393773, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 235659, "relative_activity": 0.678243, "balance": 0.393773, "dry_up": 1.245944, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067512, "annualized_volatility": 0.382678, "from_high_reference": -0.364313, "from_low_reference": 0.200521 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.572667, "fair_value_reference": 35.613077, "structural_low": 19.200001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.014804, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.018489, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.346154, "worst_return": -0.380311, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.084416, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.124478, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.421277, "worst_return": -0.248227, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.17377, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.192625, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.470886, "worst_return": -0.365459, 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}, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 23.76, "volume": 538820, "typical_volume": 380527.7, "trend": 24.956334, "fair_value": 35.86859, "relative_strength": -13.582621, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.301914, "energy": 23.433636, "activity_lines": [ 24.536667, 24.757455, 24.880953, 24.828366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.92, "volume": 593238, "typical_volume": 383489.85, "trend": 24.780333, "fair_value": 35.778974, "relative_strength": -14.007945, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.482305, "energy": 46.852454, "activity_lines": [ 23.872667, 24.414182, 24.713619, 24.696989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.32, "volume": 363921, "typical_volume": 367596.45, "trend": 24.663667, "fair_value": 35.697372, "relative_strength": -14.063813, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.415099, "energy": 58.345464, "activity_lines": [ 23.536667, 24.170727, 24.597191, 24.602774 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.049999, "volume": 235659, "typical_volume": 347454.9, "trend": 24.572667, "fair_value": 35.613077, "relative_strength": -14.979728, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.238009, "energy": 63.996416, "activity_lines": [ 23.278666, 23.898364, 24.458381, 24.498667 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }