{ "ticker": { "uuid": "780d8bb2-4437-41e0-98d9-f0cde005b78c", "symbol": "000813", "name": "Dezhan Healthcare Company Limited", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -23.583, "architecture_energy": 15.529, "architecture_maturity": 80.852, "architecture_confidence": 59.516, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.06, "rotation_up": 31.33, "upward_expansion": 19.81, "deceleration": 43.07, "rotation_down": 19.51, "downward_expansion": 51.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.312667, 3.234364, 3.29481, 3.376946 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3.43, "trend_reference": 3.525, "distance_from_trend": -0.02695, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.32859, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.030466, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.283892, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.204176, "excess_performance": -0.211576, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.02695, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082907, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.030466, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.128353, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.132839, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054883, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.204176, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.076902, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 144580058, "relative_activity": 0.869198, "balance": 1.076902, "dry_up": 1.014793, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0915, "annualized_volatility": 0.349052, "from_high_reference": -0.30426, "from_low_reference": 0.170648 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.525, "fair_value_reference": 3.32859, "structural_low": 2.93, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.010334, "positive_rate": 0.535714, "directional_follow_through": 0.464286, "median_excess_return": 0.011125, "regime_survival": 0.821429, "best_return": 0.139344, "worst_return": -0.195122, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.010019, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.024069, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.194215, "worst_return": -0.134454, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.098361, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.0833, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.454545, "worst_return": -0.180108, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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3.127333, 3.187636, 3.328857, 3.447935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.27, "volume": 243398242, "typical_volume": 166032485.95, "trend": 3.585667, "fair_value": 3.321795, "relative_strength": -15.900991, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.331527, "energy": 29.071668, "activity_lines": [ 3.186, 3.178909, 3.314095, 3.426258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.19, "volume": 159891492, "typical_volume": 165675564.15, "trend": 3.56, "fair_value": 3.323397, "relative_strength": -17.886636, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.743185, "energy": 22.343289, "activity_lines": [ 3.206, 3.166, 3.294667, 3.400731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.3, "volume": 127322193, "typical_volume": 166493942.85, "trend": 3.538667, "fair_value": 3.325705, "relative_strength": -13.207489, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.723709, "energy": 17.763515, "activity_lines": [ 3.248, 3.187091, 3.287905, 3.383957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.43, "volume": 144580058, "typical_volume": 166337370.95, "trend": 3.525, "fair_value": 3.32859, "relative_strength": -13.283892, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -23.583339, "energy": 15.529454, "activity_lines": [ 3.312667, 3.234364, 3.29481, 3.376946 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }