{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "781d11fb-315f-4ef0-bdbf-44a90babb8b0",
    "symbol": "NRE1",
    "name": "Nokian Renkaat Oyj",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 71.794,
    "architecture_energy": 88.068,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.945,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.0,
        "rotation_up": 84.88,
        "upward_expansion": 99.07,
        "deceleration": 39.48,
        "rotation_down": 8.19,
        "downward_expansion": 21.07
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        14.988667,
        14.131818,
        12.78631,
        11.99439
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 15.05,
    "trend_reference": 11.224946,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.340764,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 7.996446,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.882086,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 25.357112,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.449752,
    "excess_performance": 0.275505,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.340764,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.16175,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.882086,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.443947,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.253571,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.154516,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.449752,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 13.083832,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 13.083832,
      "dry_up": 2.540597,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.053309,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.350643,
      "from_high_reference": -0.037724,
      "from_low_reference": 1.088426
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 11.224946,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.996446,
      "structural_low": 8.584361,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.015085,
        "positive_rate": 0.529412,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.529412,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007407,
        "regime_survival": 0.764706,
        "best_return": 0.234229,
        "worst_return": -0.139491,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.060766,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.025085,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.116259,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.183872,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.029615,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.023817,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "best_return": 0.99154,
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        "sufficient": false
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        "start": "2024-07-26",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "typical_volume": 461.0,
        "trend": 9.309119,
        "fair_value": 7.500997,
        "relative_strength": 7.439755,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.500092,
        "energy": 36.719629,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "energy": 54.042672,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "trend": 9.508706,
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        "relative_strength": 5.061014,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "trend": 9.577453,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 461.0,
        "trend": 9.757573,
        "fair_value": 7.613152,
        "relative_strength": 6.563903,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 66.645386,
        "activity_lines": [
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 461.0,
        "trend": 9.874829,
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        "relative_strength": 8.628273,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.319842,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "trend": 10.021928,
        "fair_value": 7.677072,
        "relative_strength": 9.969471,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 92.988978,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 481.0,
        "trend": 10.151579,
        "fair_value": 7.710967,
        "relative_strength": 8.897163,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.505334,
        "energy": 90.87686,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.842667,
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          10.505026
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 12.83,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 280.95,
        "trend": 10.294398,
        "fair_value": 7.750712,
        "relative_strength": 12.343657,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.147065,
        "energy": 95.772402,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.244667,
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          10.677827
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 13.24,
        "volume": 3819,
        "typical_volume": 471.9,
        "trend": 10.451372,
        "fair_value": 7.790188,
        "relative_strength": 16.533197,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.788147,
        "energy": 95.875514,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.666667,
          12.043455,
          11.217296,
          10.867866
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 15.26,
        "volume": 6706,
        "typical_volume": 807.2,
        "trend": 10.66594,
        "fair_value": 7.842308,
        "relative_strength": 35.61521,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 98.119632,
        "energy": 98.589486,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.614,
          12.714545,
          11.659092,
          11.1781
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 14.98,
        "volume": 835,
        "typical_volume": 742.05,
        "trend": 10.86939,
        "fair_value": 7.891881,
        "relative_strength": 30.418497,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.631478,
        "energy": 95.689965,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.225333,
          13.254,
          12.051081,
          11.456427
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 15.22,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 742.05,
        "trend": 11.062174,
        "fair_value": 7.94345,
        "relative_strength": 31.524434,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.380528,
        "energy": 93.350397,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.740667,
          13.752727,
          12.441291,
          11.737111
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 15.05,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 742.05,
        "trend": 11.224946,
        "fair_value": 7.996446,
        "relative_strength": 25.357112,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.793648,
        "energy": 88.068429,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.988667,
          14.131818,
          12.78631,
          11.99439
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}