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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^N225", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.454, "architecture_energy": 47.418, "architecture_maturity": 93.824, "architecture_confidence": 70.471, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.45, "rotation_up": 46.44, "upward_expansion": 76.7, "deceleration": 68.64, "rotation_down": 29.05, "downward_expansion": 12.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 3900.0, 3894.541362, 3796.10479, 3656.445671 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3944.0, "trend_reference": 3471.814103, "distance_from_trend": 0.136006, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2468.947862, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.597442, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 6.230691, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.294813, "excess_performance": 0.085555, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.136006, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.117265, "read": "Rising" 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"modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.407726, "energy": 51.932685, "activity_lines": [ 3867.189876, 3869.047656, 3730.104057, 3589.994661 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3925.0, "volume": 35290, "typical_volume": 24752.6, "trend": 3437.68077, "fair_value": 2459.243572, "relative_strength": 7.839259, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.566449, "energy": 51.09182, "activity_lines": [ 3883.737695, 3882.312691, 3764.12109, 3623.779914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3944.0, "volume": 34030, "typical_volume": 25658.6, "trend": 3471.814103, "fair_value": 2468.947862, "relative_strength": 6.230691, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.453976, "energy": 47.417995, "activity_lines": [ 3900.0, 3894.541362, 3796.10479, 3656.445671 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }