{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "783dd2b1-7df6-47fb-a08f-5e5a85834bf0",
    "symbol": "CLPR",
    "name": "Clipper Realty Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -51.374,
    "architecture_energy": 35.39,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.052,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.149,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 34.85,
        "rotation_up": 17.51,
        "upward_expansion": 4.94,
        "deceleration": 46.2,
        "rotation_down": 49.68,
        "downward_expansion": 75.94
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.852667,
        2.887273,
        2.954835,
        2.984751
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 2.86,
    "trend_reference": 3.052777,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.063148,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 3.618118,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.209534,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -22.27291,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.131416,
    "excess_performance": -0.257041,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.063148,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038785,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.209534,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00514,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.222729,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002337,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.131416,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.649709,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 220915,
      "relative_activity": 0.512503,
      "balance": 0.649709,
      "dry_up": 0.477039,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.081018,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.368584,
      "from_high_reference": -0.323668,
      "from_low_reference": 0.062526
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.052777,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.618118,
      "structural_low": 2.6917,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": -0.008035,
        "positive_rate": 0.46875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.53125,
        "median_excess_return": -0.034186,
        "regime_survival": 0.8125,
        "best_return": 0.18884,
        "worst_return": -0.196994,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.034147,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.098145,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.343356,
        "worst_return": -0.218517,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.13153,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.156564,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.410669,
        "worst_return": -0.307482,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.188525,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.459234,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "best_return": 0.132268,
        "worst_return": -0.398569,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-03-08",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.08617,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.062342,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.159827,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.006089,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.215415,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.017413,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.045214,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.192066,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": -0.117914,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "energy": 18.129005,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 3.680767,
        "relative_strength": -21.587831,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 3.116451,
        "fair_value": 3.668709,
        "relative_strength": -22.19581,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 45.273387,
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          3.04665
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2.89,
        "volume": 235512,
        "typical_volume": 462790.05,
        "trend": 3.106476,
        "fair_value": 3.655905,
        "relative_strength": -19.797079,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.068651,
        "energy": 50.532029,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.880667,
          2.958836,
          2.999839,
          3.03204
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.88,
        "volume": 172832,
        "typical_volume": 454424.1,
        "trend": 3.092406,
        "fair_value": 3.643766,
        "relative_strength": -19.160872,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.498633,
        "energy": 50.66492,
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          2.874667,
          2.941493,
          2.987586,
          3.017428
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.8,
        "volume": 193254,
        "typical_volume": 444890.15,
        "trend": 3.0741,
        "fair_value": 3.629851,
        "relative_strength": -21.864302,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.785751,
        "energy": 47.006011,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.853333,
          2.908727,
          2.967977,
          2.998564
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.86,
        "volume": 220915,
        "typical_volume": 431050.85,
        "trend": 3.052777,
        "fair_value": 3.618118,
        "relative_strength": -22.27291,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.374062,
        "energy": 35.389833,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.852667,
          2.887273,
          2.954835,
          2.984751
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}