{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "78414695-7921-4538-a105-81389c1c3521",
    "symbol": "DLNG",
    "name": "Dynagas LNG Partners LP",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 59.445,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -31.886,
    "architecture_energy": 18.506,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.281,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.676,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 47.46,
        "rotation_up": 26.19,
        "upward_expansion": 15.54,
        "deceleration": 43.15,
        "rotation_down": 29.06,
        "downward_expansion": 58.54
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.638,
        3.598727,
        3.664436,
        3.740501
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 3.76,
    "trend_reference": 3.805877,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.012054,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 3.420274,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.099327,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -9.439787,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.026018,
    "excess_performance": -0.099607,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.012054,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002244,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.099327,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041079,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.094398,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.0199,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026018,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.424544,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 335650,
      "relative_activity": 1.047272,
      "balance": 1.424544,
      "dry_up": 1.461063,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.075897,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.299878,
      "from_high_reference": -0.143909,
      "from_low_reference": 0.150818
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.805877,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.420274,
      "structural_low": 3.27,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.040541,
        "positive_rate": 0.529412,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.411765,
        "median_excess_return": 0.023866,
        "regime_survival": 0.705882,
        "best_return": 0.18107,
        "worst_return": -0.132143,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.043155,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.040199,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.314879,
        "worst_return": -0.148026,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.057393,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.128812,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.513308,
        "worst_return": -0.075,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.068702,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.102691,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.208746,
        "worst_return": -0.093426,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.002577,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.099738,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.040179,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.010987,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.065418,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.098958,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.057888,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.016667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.069252,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.05615,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-04-17",
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        "return": 0.052737,
        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 355707.0,
        "trend": 3.805675,
        "fair_value": 3.399828,
        "relative_strength": -16.025038,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -73.742934,
        "energy": 67.143212,
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          3.502,
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          3.702888,
          3.766887
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 3.61,
        "volume": 1035319,
        "typical_volume": 373240.8,
        "trend": 3.801579,
        "fair_value": 3.405929,
        "relative_strength": -9.371704,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.69758,
        "energy": 34.803395,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.538,
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          3.682407,
          3.754263
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.63,
        "volume": 249169,
        "typical_volume": 343231.0,
        "trend": 3.801724,
        "fair_value": 3.412509,
        "relative_strength": -9.679853,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.18536,
        "energy": 25.173963,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.575333,
          3.569636,
          3.666427,
          3.743193
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.76,
        "volume": 335650,
        "typical_volume": 320499.45,
        "trend": 3.805877,
        "fair_value": 3.420274,
        "relative_strength": -9.439787,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -31.886371,
        "energy": 18.505755,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.638,
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          3.664436,
          3.740501
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}