{ "ticker": { "uuid": "784304ea-9a47-434f-85a5-8fb112163130", "symbol": "300897", "name": "Hangzhou Seck Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.736, "architecture_energy": 35.19, "architecture_maturity": 48.39, "architecture_confidence": 62.911, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.44, "rotation_up": 20.53, "upward_expansion": 10.68, "deceleration": 66.52, "rotation_down": 50.15, "downward_expansion": 72.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.646666, 14.638182, 15.954581, 16.685242 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 16.219999, "trend_reference": 17.55981, "distance_from_trend": -0.0763, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.680133, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.185661, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.652473, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.139174, "excess_performance": -0.146573, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.0763, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054643, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.185661, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.24186, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.156525, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004411, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.139174, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.856081, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37239233, "relative_activity": 2.911115, "balance": 1.856081, "dry_up": 1.898249, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.147209, "annualized_volatility": 0.598099, "from_high_reference": -0.349647, "from_low_reference": 0.399482 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.55981, "fair_value_reference": 13.680133, "structural_low": 11.59, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.01609, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.022048, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.168526, "worst_return": -0.141971, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.0079, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.085977, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.0399, "worst_return": -0.211519, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.015812, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.003714, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.332976, "worst_return": -0.113799, "sufficient": false }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 15.343333, 16.629567, 17.501037, 17.887766 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 14.07, "volume": 9157692, "typical_volume": 10229943.35, "trend": 18.116276, "fair_value": 13.598667, "relative_strength": -33.183435, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.879668, "energy": 80.705596, "activity_lines": [ 14.672, 16.001299, 17.124169, 17.618215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.03, "volume": 9526841, "typical_volume": 10196312.75, "trend": 17.949838, "fair_value": 13.610145, "relative_strength": -31.377689, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.860299, "energy": 84.447102, "activity_lines": [ 14.048, 15.27214, 16.669419, 17.290068 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.45, "volume": 11920096, "typical_volume": 10113598.75, "trend": 17.745071, "fair_value": 13.619463, "relative_strength": -33.966176, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.768496, "energy": 81.917518, "activity_lines": [ 13.411333, 14.543986, 16.194673, 16.935239 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.28, "volume": 38444082, "typical_volume": 11457294.65, "trend": 17.629887, "fair_value": 13.644164, "relative_strength": -17.012147, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.235861, "energy": 51.393184, "activity_lines": [ 13.898, 14.464364, 16.022265, 16.776203 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.219999, "volume": 37239233, "typical_volume": 12792085.4, "trend": 17.55981, "fair_value": 13.680133, "relative_strength": -15.652473, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.735917, "energy": 35.190151, "activity_lines": [ 14.646666, 14.638182, 15.954581, 16.685242 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }