{ "ticker": { "uuid": "78446313-c52a-48e2-8ff9-e939861036d0", "symbol": "HOLM-B", "name": "Holmen AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 56.395, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 8.629, "architecture_energy": 20.781, "architecture_maturity": 91.934, "architecture_confidence": 43.398, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.28, "rotation_up": 43.39, "upward_expansion": 33.16, "deceleration": 46.97, "rotation_down": 19.57, "downward_expansion": 46.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 319.61333, 314.221817, 313.455351, 317.423641 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 329.0, "trend_reference": 323.816174, "distance_from_trend": 0.016009, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 370.40126, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.111774, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -12.437427, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.034454, "excess_performance": -0.095949, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.016009, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.026881, "read": "Falling" 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743757, "typical_volume": 1274133.85, "trend": 324.934906, "fair_value": 370.846682, "relative_strength": -15.570178, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.733271, "energy": 35.7014, "activity_lines": [ 308.013328, 308.10909, 311.514654, 317.240117 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 323.0, "volume": 768105, "typical_volume": 1243291.3, "trend": 324.220467, "fair_value": 370.54302, "relative_strength": -12.953387, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.437499, "energy": 14.311985, "activity_lines": [ 313.426662, 310.734544, 312.174637, 317.115284 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 329.0, "volume": 856075, "typical_volume": 1180668.0, "trend": 323.816174, "fair_value": 370.40126, "relative_strength": -12.437427, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 8.628646, "energy": 20.780947, "activity_lines": [ 319.61333, 314.221817, 313.455351, 317.423641 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }