{ "ticker": { "uuid": "784715c9-f8b3-4ca9-ba8b-f4bcb002825b", "symbol": "002251", "name": "Better Life Commercial Chain Share Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.928, "architecture_energy": 37.384, "architecture_maturity": 88.44, "architecture_confidence": 80.278, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.01, "rotation_up": 23.52, "upward_expansion": 9.1, "deceleration": 60.44, "rotation_down": 48.68, "downward_expansion": 73.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.576, 3.594364, 3.808381, 3.984065 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.66, "trend_reference": 4.288, "distance_from_trend": -0.146455, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.326538, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.154058, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.04969, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.283757, "excess_performance": -0.291157, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.146455, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.114842, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.154058, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088068, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.270497, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085306, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.283757, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.491587, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 377596160, "relative_activity": 1.023571, "balance": 0.491587, "dry_up": 1.423175, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.132198, "annualized_volatility": 0.566346, "from_high_reference": -0.497253, "from_low_reference": 0.115854 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.288, "fair_value_reference": 4.326538, "structural_low": 3.28, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.01312, "positive_rate": 0.387097, "directional_follow_through": 0.612903, "median_excess_return": -0.013686, "regime_survival": 0.774194, "best_return": 0.425197, "worst_return": -0.35369, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.001506, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.001045, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.413428, "worst_return": -0.15015, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.030696, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.004509, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.201201, "worst_return": -0.21564, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-04-19", "end": "2024-06-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.176617, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-06-28", "end": "2024-11-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.123123, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.104972, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.082547, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.033898, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-05-30", 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4.356795, "relative_strength": -36.629838, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.724201, "energy": 77.899222, "activity_lines": [ 3.564667, 3.843818, 4.004905, 4.215828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.45, "volume": 660395641, "typical_volume": 341695047.0, "trend": 4.487667, "fair_value": 4.350192, "relative_strength": -30.420269, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.366408, "energy": 76.603373, "activity_lines": [ 3.497333, 3.750727, 3.937381, 4.144925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.37, "volume": 468605888, "typical_volume": 346874286.5, "trend": 4.402667, "fair_value": 4.342628, "relative_strength": -31.625565, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.851959, "energy": 70.143741, "activity_lines": [ 3.44, 3.655273, 3.868905, 4.072817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.71, "volume": 593443908, "typical_volume": 364360181.6, "trend": 4.343, "fair_value": 4.336731, "relative_strength": -22.874338, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.185154, "energy": 44.974534, "activity_lines": [ 3.526667, 3.629455, 3.838952, 4.028129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.66, "volume": 377596160, "typical_volume": 368900728.65, "trend": 4.288, "fair_value": 4.326538, "relative_strength": -27.04969, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.928206, "energy": 37.383547, "activity_lines": [ 3.576, 3.594364, 3.808381, 3.984065 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }