{ "ticker": { "uuid": "784d49ee-c7d0-4f4d-88ea-6bb66bbfce56", "symbol": "NRXP", "name": "NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 33.687, "architecture_energy": 16.809, "architecture_maturity": 82.846, "architecture_confidence": 92.0, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.32, "rotation_up": 30.07, "upward_expansion": 58.76, "deceleration": 85.07, "rotation_down": 29.02, "downward_expansion": 20.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.632, 3.766909, 3.665476, 3.331183 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 3.58, "trend_reference": 2.901333, "distance_from_trend": 0.233915, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.854942, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.253966, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.978861, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.874346, "excess_performance": 0.686892, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.233915, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.204372, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.253966, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.213928, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.129789, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.151285, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.874346, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.969697, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8788426, "relative_activity": 1.530665, "balance": 0.969697, "dry_up": 0.966162, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.240645, "annualized_volatility": 0.730614, "from_high_reference": -0.29179, "from_low_reference": 1.209877 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.901333, "fair_value_reference": 2.854942, "structural_low": 1.62, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.06686, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.0897, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.272727, "worst_return": -0.457143, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.311111, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.300576, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.073783, "worst_return": -0.499925, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.323053, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.421934, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": -0.068323, "worst_return": -0.618657, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.869182, "energy": 45.158376, "activity_lines": [ 4.076667, 4.000727, 3.587476, 3.202989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.75, "volume": 3546772, "typical_volume": 5390825.5, "trend": 2.838333, "fair_value": 2.855365, "relative_strength": 25.293417, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.378999, "energy": 38.737797, "activity_lines": [ 3.991333, 3.974727, 3.646476, 3.264366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.15, "volume": 5880459, "typical_volume": 5555495.7, "trend": 2.856, "fair_value": 2.853141, "relative_strength": 4.724124, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.336281, "energy": 22.682735, "activity_lines": [ 3.720667, 3.831091, 3.638571, 3.284473 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.58, "volume": 8788426, "typical_volume": 5741575.1, "trend": 2.901333, "fair_value": 2.854942, "relative_strength": 12.978861, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.68694, "energy": 16.809379, "activity_lines": [ 3.632, 3.766909, 3.665476, 3.331183 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }