{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7858fae4-9b99-4e09-a456-0779d22fd228", "symbol": "XDWD", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI World UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.87, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.353, "architecture_energy": 68.359, "architecture_maturity": 80.944, "architecture_confidence": 65.648, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.29, "rotation_up": 54.89, "upward_expansion": 83.0, "deceleration": 71.19, "rotation_down": 28.42, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 138.01933, 137.379889, 135.287513, 132.483156 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 140.761993, "trend_reference": 129.210666, "distance_from_trend": 0.089399, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 109.311756, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.287711, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.201937, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.142771, "excess_performance": -0.02812, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.089399, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041732, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.287711, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042064, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.032019, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002724, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.142771, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.861524, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 108820, "relative_activity": 1.744261, "balance": 2.861524, "dry_up": 1.083615, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017656, "annualized_volatility": 0.107, "from_high_reference": -0.002367, "from_low_reference": 0.242405 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 129.210666, "fair_value_reference": 109.311756, "structural_low": 117.258003, 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"typical_volume": 60672.25, "trend": 128.6814, "fair_value": 108.949615, "relative_strength": -3.798366, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.137049, "energy": 59.633573, "activity_lines": [ 136.791198, 136.543926, 134.373457, 131.703763 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 140.761993, "volume": 108820, "typical_volume": 62387.45, "trend": 129.210666, "fair_value": 109.311756, "relative_strength": -3.201937, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.353389, "energy": 68.359332, "activity_lines": [ 138.01933, 137.379889, 135.287513, 132.483156 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }