{ "ticker": { "uuid": "785ab49a-2f15-4121-878b-f52c38ac55d1", "symbol": "RESP", "name": "Respiratorius AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 37.357, "architecture_energy": 20.479, "architecture_maturity": 74.173, "architecture_confidence": 78.112, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.58, "rotation_up": 30.71, "upward_expansion": 60.06, "deceleration": 84.51, "rotation_down": 29.43, "downward_expansion": 21.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.496667, 2.589818, 2.42631, 2.202312 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2.33, "trend_reference": 1.943667, "distance_from_trend": 0.198765, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.820288, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.762736, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.854731, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.451713, "excess_performance": 0.390219, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.198765, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.158208, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.762736, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04528, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.048547, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.365935, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.451713, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.051831, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 66389, "relative_activity": 0.690564, "balance": 1.051831, "dry_up": 0.568977, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.223176, "annualized_volatility": 1.053492, "from_high_reference": -0.66523, "from_low_reference": 0.957983 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.943667, "fair_value_reference": 9.820288, "structural_low": 1.245, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.142921, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.147095, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.152, "worst_return": -0.407317, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.665323, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.751467, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.26614, "worst_return": -0.812683, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.766129, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.846259, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.629776, "worst_return": -0.813659, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"relative_strength": 14.754922, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.312507, "energy": 60.789147, "activity_lines": [ 2.796667, 2.598727, 2.24319, 2.034634 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.9, "volume": 48705, "typical_volume": 98513.55, "trend": 1.868167, "fair_value": 10.203494, "relative_strength": 7.492404, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.742584, "energy": 64.779029, "activity_lines": [ 2.884, 2.672727, 2.333762, 2.104108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.81, "volume": 12709, "typical_volume": 92032.85, "trend": 1.909167, "fair_value": 10.070224, "relative_strength": 6.809071, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.144668, "energy": 60.850998, "activity_lines": [ 2.908, 2.718364, 2.408976, 2.164871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.08, "volume": 90997, "typical_volume": 95140.15, "trend": 1.9205, "fair_value": 9.948301, "relative_strength": -17.717392, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.54554, "energy": 33.634003, "activity_lines": [ 2.648, 2.629818, 2.407476, 2.175892 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.33, "volume": 66389, "typical_volume": 96137.4, "trend": 1.943667, "fair_value": 9.820288, "relative_strength": -4.854731, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.357004, "energy": 20.478723, "activity_lines": [ 2.496667, 2.589818, 2.42631, 2.202312 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }