{ "ticker": { "uuid": "785baae2-c48c-48ab-aa04-c23d84afc83a", "symbol": "002667", "name": "Willing New Energy Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.429, "architecture_energy": 56.922, "architecture_maturity": 37.667, "architecture_confidence": 95.859, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.22, "rotation_up": 24.63, "upward_expansion": 9.99, "deceleration": 52.81, "rotation_down": 55.71, "downward_expansion": 83.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.47, 11.942909, 16.074714, 18.575333 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 14.5, "trend_reference": 20.258334, "distance_from_trend": -0.284245, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.306539, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.178235, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.513582, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.290607, "excess_performance": -0.298006, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.284245, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011129, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.178235, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.174314, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.175136, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.642744, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.290607, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.499915, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 130525180, "relative_activity": 1.796493, "balance": 0.499915, "dry_up": 1.632671, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.267427, "annualized_volatility": 1.13912, "from_high_reference": -0.59361, "from_low_reference": 0.994498 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.258334, "fair_value_reference": 12.306539, "structural_low": 7.27, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.021907, "positive_rate": 0.318182, "directional_follow_through": 0.681818, "median_excess_return": -0.015325, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.611411, "worst_return": -0.266576, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.106683, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.06244, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.66318, "worst_return": -0.406948, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.013648, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.103861, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.775726, "worst_return": -0.355346, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.02615, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.060686, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.007874, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.181065, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.344538, 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11.827455, 16.639048, 18.943807 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.5, "volume": 130525180, "typical_volume": 72655541.2, "trend": 20.258334, "fair_value": 12.306539, "relative_strength": -17.513582, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.428735, "energy": 56.922378, "activity_lines": [ 11.47, 11.942909, 16.074714, 18.575333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }