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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-09-18", "benchmark": "^N225", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.08, "architecture_energy": 71.62, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 82.762, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.89, "rotation_up": 73.18, "upward_expansion": 87.67, "deceleration": 65.68, "rotation_down": 18.29, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 3512.666667, 3365.472727, 2978.895238, 2698.011313 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 3625.0, "trend_reference": 2353.921948, "distance_from_trend": 0.539983, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1849.856313, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.959612, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 59.180489, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.155576, "excess_performance": 0.937366, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.539983, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.270927, "read": "Rising" 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"energy": 88.243636, "activity_lines": [ 3436.666667, 3165.327273, 2784.92381, 2531.764107 ] }, { "date": "2026-09-11", "close": 3470.0, "volume": 270100, "typical_volume": 144750.0, "trend": 2288.953247, "fair_value": 1839.131925, "relative_strength": 56.355897, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.299599, "energy": 69.030988, "activity_lines": [ 3451.666667, 3259.927273, 2878.661905, 2611.814749 ] }, { "date": "2026-09-18", "close": 3625.0, "volume": 225700, "typical_volume": 152735.0, "trend": 2353.921948, "fair_value": 1849.856313, "relative_strength": 59.180489, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.079636, "energy": 71.62006, "activity_lines": [ 3512.666667, 3365.472727, 2978.895238, 2698.011313 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }